NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00feee4bc39ed2fc287562a259794a92db62a41924c4acac3a02bd6188a77753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 56c | 15,567$8,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.05 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 44c | 10,374$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.4 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 4,600$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 44c | 2,140$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.23 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 1,044$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.36 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Over | 44c | 909.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.39 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 751.52$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.67 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 43c | 750.27$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.53 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 747$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…1028backed Under | 54c | 674.03$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 43c | 659.2$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.67 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 56c | 610$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.4 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 56c | 444$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…f9d4backed Under | 57c | 433.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 57c | 318.81$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Under | 57c | 289.47$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 142$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…9adabacked Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8570backed Under | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Under | 56c | 61.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…9dcdbacked Under | 58c | 60.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Under | 57c | 57.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 44c | 50.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 57c | 50.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…1795backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Under | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…819fbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…12c4backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…82f2backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 44c | 29.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Under | 59c | 20.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.