TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Blackhawks, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Senators70c30,813$21,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,243.8588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Blackhawks31c20,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,10025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blackhawks30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9732946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Senators70c11,266$7,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.838844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Senators69c10,942$7,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.491,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Blackhawks29c10,278$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.485749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blackhawks7c10,018$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.4457157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks31c9,919$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.131,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Blackhawks30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Senators70c6,662$4,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.639047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Blackhawks17c6,590$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1106833.8%23 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Senators69c6,049$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.7375251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators73c5,763$4,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.3685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Blackhawks30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Senators70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50012245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators65c4,099$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.621,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Senators66c3,797$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.1623047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked Blackhawks30c3,677$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators70c3,610$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.3979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Blackhawks31c3,177$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Blackhawks16c3,128$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.9829926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Blackhawks35c3,072$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.182343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94aa…067dbacked Blackhawks31c2,850$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks29c2,659$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.6451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Blackhawks30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Senators71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72512445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Senators71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72524945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators69c2,491$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.081,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks30c2,277$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.184953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks1c2,062$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.617450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Blackhawks30c2,030$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.9554047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83bf…c05cbacked Senators72c1,947$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Blackhawks30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03fe…a97bbacked Senators69c1,450$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Blackhawks29c1,433$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.628645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2852…f079backed Senators69c1,400$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3560…e3e3backed Blackhawks18c1,255$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8650%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff68…b34ebacked Blackhawks8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004316.3%7 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Blackhawks37c1,143$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4234146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Senators70c1,020$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blackhawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Blackhawks31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks29c999.98$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.491,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Blackhawks34c998.83$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.648050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Senators69c960.19$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.091,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Blackhawks11c899.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+203%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks30c872.58$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Blackhawks33c861.97$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Senators74c856.29$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.531,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blackhawks7c853.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9454418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Senators69c833.28$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3213448.5%65 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed Blackhawks21c751$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.859642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators69c751$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Senators69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6411953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks31c699.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2171,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Senators68c689.33$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5926955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Senators80c654.47$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6760141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3a…1df9backed Blackhawks15c549.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Blackhawks29c545.43$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3155446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Blackhawks28c541.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.56434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Blackhawks31c540.18$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Blackhawks34c528.8$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.795052%26 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+65.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x089c…8df0backed Blackhawks2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Senators69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15535245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Senators71c458.33$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13430657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Blackhawks11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405651.8%29 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Blackhawks27c334.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Blackhawks30c313$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.91,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Blackhawks9c303.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Blackhawks18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5431257.4%179 W · 133 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Blackhawks30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ba…2481backed Senators68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Blackhawks30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked Blackhawks32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9612244.3%54 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Blackhawks21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Blackhawks27c257.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.71,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators68c251.53$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Senators70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7534653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Senators79c243.32$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3425435.4%90 W · 164 L-22.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Senators69c228.51$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8419851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Senators71c223.43$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.322,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed Blackhawks27c220$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Senators78c214.28$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.222,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators76c207.67$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6552172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Senators69c200.46$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.212648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Senators70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Blackhawks34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6712250.8%62 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Senators64c197$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9266147.5%314 W · 347 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Senators70c195$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Blackhawks30c167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.129345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks24c163.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.193,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Blackhawks35c160.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.052650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Senators66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5241757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Senators69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.558947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa14e…f856backed Senators70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865360.4%32 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda87…ca76backed Senators66c135.3$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Blackhawks9c133.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Blackhawks27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7533735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked Senators69c124.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.574944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.