TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,017,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,062,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,017,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes53c361,767$191,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170,376.563243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes52c100,000$51,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,35016040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes52c99,268$51,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,098.813234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c79,362$35,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,076.326,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No48c69,539$33,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,426.562,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No47c58,226$27,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,366.123240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c33,391$16,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,027.827851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No47c27,739$13,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,125.724052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c26,363$12,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,552.672,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No47c26,339$12,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,379.282642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c21,011$10,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,189.061,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No48c19,200$9,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,215.937544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No47c19,105$8,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,979.1931944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No47c19,100$8,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,976.997653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No48c18,888$9,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,066.2316848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b03…2c36backed Yes52c18,654$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,953.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No48c18,360$8,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,757.941435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes55c18,338$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,338.13426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No48c16,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,68010962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No47c15,830$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,439.91631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No48c15,014$7,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,168.539061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No48c14,496$6,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,905.4513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No48c11,957$5,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,710.0156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes71c11,746$8,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.410253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No47c11,740$5,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,517.87035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No47c10,420$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9005438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8003855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6e…18ecbacked No47c9,358$4,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No48c9,150$4,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,348.031,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No47c8,761$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.810951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No46c8,000$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.5216050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Yes52c8,000$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.943557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes48c7,881$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,098.073053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No46c7,585$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.253540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No48c7,292$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No49c7,029$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4449749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No43c7,000$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No47c6,794$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.213151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes51c6,682$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,274.0613348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No10c6,497$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.746350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c6,456$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.814,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No48c6,455$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.5419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No48c6,235$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.766448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes76c5,949$4,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.691,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked No48c5,384$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No47c5,148$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.0640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4506550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No48c4,751$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.212060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No49c4,700$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3202564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No47c4,489$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1102065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8198…6f6fbacked Yes53c4,480$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No47c4,444$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.6724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No48c4,158$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.9790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No48c4,135$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.2284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9606445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9205658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No9c3,750$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.54037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6043…84afbacked No42c3,553$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.491030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No48c3,088$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.249856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x426c…bdf1backed No47c3,029$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c3,001$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.011305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4706354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4406660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed No48c3,000$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4251136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No49c2,934$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.21650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c2,909$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.3959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.625442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes53c2,740$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.6249544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed No47c2,600$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2224153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No47c2,539$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.4775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00022458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x405f…5852backed No47c2,498$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes79c2,446$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206c…4f34backed Yes54c2,435$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923d…0924backed Yes54c2,376$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1035…172cbacked Yes54c2,371$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No49c2,222$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed No48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked No48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8232345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa2…c092backed Yes54c2,035$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes63c2,002$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.4810053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes52c2,000$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.7455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa475…bfe7backed Yes53c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.995100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c00…7172backed No47c1,899$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.5230%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked No8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc15c…6acfbacked No47c1,843$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes51c1,820$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.9976842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c1,804$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7726319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No49c1,802$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.929458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb404…9de2backed Yes54c1,769$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+120.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No47c1,734$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.5329250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b5…dc6abacked No47c1,719$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.