MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32d6334ed5f3a23f8f00326de277a157c03af4ec8311285466adfbcaad9a03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,546$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.13 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,078$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 992.52$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed New York Yankees | 42c | 919.24$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.16 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 821.62$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Texas Rangers | 27c | 718$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.02 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees | 75c | 656.67$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 69c | 517.31$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed New York Yankees | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 369.69$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.12 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 68c | 360.36$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 271.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 241.16$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 239.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 239.14$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed New York Yankees | 44c | 221.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 202.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Yankees | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 189.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 164.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 147.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 144.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 141.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 124.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 101.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 100.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed New York Yankees | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 96.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 78.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27f…cdf5backed New York Yankees | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed New York Yankees | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 58.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 56.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 52.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 49.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 47.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed New York Yankees | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed New York Yankees | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed New York Yankees | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 35.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 34.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed New York Yankees | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 25.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 24.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Texas RangersNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.