MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x936da9e944a04c6c95e299226484f8b96a402993644584ebfe93cba1e7f73e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 54c | 902.98$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.15 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 606.01$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 47c | 438.87$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 406.76$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.65 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 380$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 351.17$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 336.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 308.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 53c | 271.79$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 69c | 229.73$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 79c | 224.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 210.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 22c | 209.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 188.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 63c | 159.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 43c | 133.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 115.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 55c | 88.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Under | 72c | 85.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 48c | 80.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 64c | 72.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 57c | 62.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 53c | 48.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 58c | 37.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 54c | 28.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Under | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Over | 52c | 22.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Texas RangersNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.