Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. California-San Diego Tritons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5978ef29557d14467e3aad8467d7989c022596468fdbf0c84fb0190068a1937
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Torerosof San Diego Toreros, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed San Diego Toreros | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 3,295$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Toreros | 56c | 2,465$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 3c | 2,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 2c | 2,300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 20c | 2,281$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.67 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked San Diego Toreros | 70c | 2,151$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.68 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 32c | 2,147$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 28c | 1,546$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.91 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed San Diego Toreros | 31c | 1,522$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego Toreros | 58c | 1,463$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.38 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 27c | 1,407$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed California-San Diego Tritons | 11c | 1,031$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…14c9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California-San Diego Tritons | 32c | 909.33$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 770.29$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.08 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 31c | 761.41$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked San Diego Toreros | 65c | 728$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed California-San Diego Tritons | 4c | 675.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed San Diego Toreros | 68c | 652.93$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed California-San Diego Tritons | 37c | 604.68$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked San Diego Toreros | 22c | 517.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.52 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked San Diego Toreros | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 312.06$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked San Diego Toreros | 26c | 309.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.34 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 29c | 247.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c184backed San Diego Toreros | 60c | 242.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed California-San Diego Tritons | 22c | 230$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…0308backed San Diego Toreros | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed San Diego Toreros | 72c | 138.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed San Diego Toreros | 76c | 116.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego Toreros | 10c | 108$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked San Diego Toreros | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed San Diego Toreros | 43c | 97.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 68.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 67.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 44c | 57.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed California-San Diego Tritons | 74c | 49.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed San Diego Toreros | 62c | 48.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed San Diego Toreros | 52c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…f7dcbacked San Diego Toreros | 49c | 30.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked San Diego Toreros | 36c | 30.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed San Diego Toreros | 40c | 25.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. California-San Diego Tritonsthis page
- San Diego Toreros vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 156.5Over won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-13.5)San Diego Toreros won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-14.5)San Diego Toreros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.