Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe51a561b37e9074e7a0f690682a85a8182049dfb519413807b0e9f900813ccfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5127…8507backed Over | 51c | 6,647$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…8029backed Under | 49c | 6,546$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…13d3backed Under | 49c | 6,115$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…5340backed Over | 51c | 6,011$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 1,918$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.6 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,323$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 49c | 118$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 53c | 116$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 49c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 49c | 107$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 84.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 51c | 50.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 156.5this page
- San Diego Toreros vs. California-San Diego TritonsSan Diego Toreros won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-13.5)San Diego Toreros won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-14.5)San Diego Toreros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.