MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb276c7882ec467145a450fd42182502d86b8f78dd917b296d33b6e80132076a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $489,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 97,773$43,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,752.84 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 63,284$35,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,439.04 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 40,253$18,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,360.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 33,783$14,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,307.56 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 20,075$8,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,268.59 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 18,216$8,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,201.17 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 15,383$8,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,614.46 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 15,042$6,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,273.22 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 14,565$8,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,037.66 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 12,826$7,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,457.88 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 12,250$6,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,859.87 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 9,127$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.45 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 8,383$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,610.64 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 7,690$5,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.19 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 7,217$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.91 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 7,072$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.25 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 6,885$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.8 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 6,224$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.41 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 6,146$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.54 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 4,960$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 4,500$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.45 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 4,400$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.94 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,056$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.87 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 3,897$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.18 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 3,481$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.31 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 2,910$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.68 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,812$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.06 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,262$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 2,025$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.12 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…4342backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,977$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,950$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 1,772$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 1,751$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.36 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,669$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.93 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,595$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.17 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 1,523$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,356$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.78 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,074$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 1,061$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 960.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 914.74$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 864.93$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.36 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 853.46$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 842.07$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 830.18$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.53 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 755.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 750.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 746.42$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.28 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 728.88$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.17 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 674.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 672.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 638.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 621.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 608.5$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.76 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 579.97$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.94 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 559.1$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.15 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 550.85$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.47 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 542.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.95 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 505$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.75 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 482.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 475.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 456.55$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.68 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 455.18$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 405.48$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 394.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 392.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 390.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 387.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 384.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 382.49$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.19 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 340.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 336.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 334.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.34 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 281$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 280.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 272.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 240.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Boston Red Sox | 76c | 233.43$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…d030backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 214$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 209.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 200.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 197.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 196.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 193.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.