UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d364597429089ef5020c69e41c4fc15703541f9d33e33db4a031f153721540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jonathan Micallefof Themba Gorimbo, Jonathan Micallef
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $406,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 258,098$84,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,249.94 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Jonathan Micallef | 68c | 98,311$66,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,459.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 83,330$55,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,499.02 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 47,221$31,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.21 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 16,000$10,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 14,666$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 11,194$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.03 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.69 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Jonathan Micallef | 71c | 5,997$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.11 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Jonathan Micallef | 68c | 4,395$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.43 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Themba Gorimbo | 34c | 4,336$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Themba Gorimbo | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Jonathan Micallef | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Jonathan Micallef | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Themba Gorimbo | 35c | 2,718$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.08 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Themba Gorimbo | 32c | 2,562$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.82 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Themba Gorimbo | 23c | 2,279$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.28 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 2,150$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Themba Gorimbo | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.9 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Jonathan Micallef | 66c | 1,879$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.35 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 1,837$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.58 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 1,765$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.39 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c8…d45dbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 1,707$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Themba Gorimbo | 7c | 1,571$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Jonathan Micallef | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Themba Gorimbo | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Themba Gorimbo | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.97 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Themba Gorimbo | 34c | 1,492$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 1,488$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 1,478$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.66 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jonathan Micallef | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…a074backed Themba Gorimbo | 28c | 1,196$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Jonathan Micallef | 65c | 1,174$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.91 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 1,043$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.35 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Themba Gorimbo | 32c | 1,032$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.1 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Themba Gorimbo | 32c | 1,003$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Themba Gorimbo | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Jonathan Micallef | 76c | 1,000$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.12 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe160…b6b9backed Themba Gorimbo | 2c | 969.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Jonathan Micallef | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Jonathan Micallef | 68c | 876.4$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.29 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 816.37$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Jonathan Micallef | 36c | 783.33$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.33 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Jonathan Micallef | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 647.64$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Themba Gorimbo | 5c | 622.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 617.35$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.73 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Themba Gorimbo | 34c | 603.09$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.78 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Jonathan Micallef | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Themba Gorimbo | 32c | 599.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 593.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Themba Gorimbo | 31c | 592.37$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.83 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…58e9backed Themba Gorimbo | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Jonathan Micallef | 68c | 520.59$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.59 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Themba Gorimbo | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Themba Gorimbo | 34c | 499.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 499.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Themba Gorimbo | 32c | 495.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…1cf1backed Themba Gorimbo | 40c | 468.25$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Themba Gorimbo | 48c | 467.41$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…a365backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 466.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Jonathan Micallef | 66c | 456$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Themba Gorimbo | 45c | 442.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 420$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Jonathan Micallef | 72c | 418.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Jonathan Micallef | 52c | 403.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Jonathan Micallef | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…1afebacked Jonathan Micallef | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 358.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Themba Gorimbo | 7c | 334.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jonathan Micallef | 62c | 326.73$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Themba Gorimbo | 32c | 325$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47dd…cdebbacked Themba Gorimbo | 6c | 310$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 306.9$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…5b8abacked Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Jonathan Micallef | 65c | 302.25$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…c4b8backed Themba Gorimbo | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 299.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Themba Gorimbo | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Themba Gorimbo | 52c | 286.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Jonathan Micallef | 66c | 283.03$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 269.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 241.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 238.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980c…74cebacked Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Themba Gorimbo | 30c | 225.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Jonathan Micallef | 67c | 223.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Jonathan Micallef | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Themba Gorimbo | 41c | 219.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Jonathan Micallef | 66c | 216.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Themba Gorimbo | 37c | 216.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Themba Gorimbo | 28c | 214$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Themba Gorimbo | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.