TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Falcons vs. Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Falcons, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,992,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,012,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,992,845 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons27c180,281$48,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,645.4530043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Buccaneers72c105,000$75,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,4904250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Falcons28c85,802$24,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,431.7930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Falcons29c84,815$24,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,109.395431.5%17 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Falcons40c75,156$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,156.372556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Buccaneers72c70,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,4001861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Buccaneers68c61,039$41,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,530.265250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Falcons31c60,000$18,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,274.727440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Buccaneers64c58,640$37,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,351.3924652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Falcons29c50,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,299.9814342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Falcons28c41,325$11,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,714.2512944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Falcons28c40,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,799.935850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d9…5ee1backed Falcons28c39,450$10,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,509.012050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Falcons42c35,869$15,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,854.3919235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Falcons29c35,000$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,8506451.6%33 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Falcons20c34,611$6,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,788.6273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Buccaneers36c34,061$12,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,303.8316955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Falcons36c32,135$11,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,510.4219551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Falcons20c31,767$6,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,529.893345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Falcons25c31,456$7,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,615.9375852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Buccaneers65c30,048$19,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,522.8144652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Falcons30c30,000$9,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,914.683548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Falcons29c30,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,299.9716051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Buccaneers67c29,933$20,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,054.99359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Falcons29c28,600$8,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,305.7127454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Buccaneers70c24,888$17,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,307.2239447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Falcons3c24,569$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,757.2833328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Buccaneers64c24,391$15,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,705922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Falcons14c23,637$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,302.62219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Falcons32c22,754$7,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,472.4917041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Falcons14c21,753$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,663.3826547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d7…1c0bbacked Buccaneers70c21,362$14,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,952.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Buccaneers72c20,833$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0007255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Falcons30c20,357$6,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,346.4764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f67…77debacked Buccaneers0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Falcons29c20,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,199.9924957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Buccaneers55c19,961$10,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,978.387554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Falcons34c18,469$6,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,147.2531543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Falcons22c17,647$3,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,742.5268446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Buccaneers71c17,346$12,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,275.0919152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc153…6c8bbacked Buccaneers71c15,000$10,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,650.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x099a…236cbacked Falcons29c15,000$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,649.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+145.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Falcons25c14,212$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,622.569853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Buccaneers71c14,000$9,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9401442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Falcons19c12,527$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,110.013135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Falcons43c12,000$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,839.9720755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Falcons30c11,344$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,913.98343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Falcons4c11,203$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,755.1351352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Buccaneers69c11,069$7,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,640.1212138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Falcons36c10,715$3,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,875.5727348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Falcons78c10,058$7,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.5828151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x240c…bd0dbacked Falcons30c10,005$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,003.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Falcons31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,90031240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc374…46f4backed Buccaneers69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,900742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…714dbacked Buccaneers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Buccaneers71c10,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb564…191fbacked Falcons32c9,990$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,793.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Falcons31c9,736$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,709.7614951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Buccaneers75c9,627$7,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,220.36639.4%26 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Falcons3c8,908$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,641.133447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+112.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Buccaneers68c8,720$5,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,929.8325137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Buccaneers71c8,539$6,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,062.938856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Falcons24c8,257$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,309.3511643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Falcons26c8,078$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,975.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+92.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Falcons23c7,835$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,049.1419645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Buccaneers67c7,824$5,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,242.244955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Buccaneers78c7,267$5,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,652.6523244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Falcons13c7,056$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,169.341931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Buccaneers71c7,042$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.826349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f02…d349backed Buccaneers68c7,000$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Falcons28c6,934$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,992.5112144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Falcons28c6,666$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.5224056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Falcons29c6,428$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,541.424837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Buccaneers72c6,062$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3655940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Buccaneers72c6,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0e…ec76backed Falcons32c6,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0801100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Buccaneers69c5,952$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,121.1227644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Falcons26c5,920$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,401.6847738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Falcons26c5,884$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.246240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Buccaneers69c5,858$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0373650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Falcons30c5,620$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.5686547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Buccaneers71c5,555$3,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.057655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Buccaneers71c5,509$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.372937.9%11 W · 18 L-8.4wins-0.29per pick67cpaid-49.1%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xd2b7…8779backed Buccaneers68c5,466$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Falcons10c5,351$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,797.552441.7%10 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+73.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x239a…76e5backed Buccaneers71c5,179$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6605457.4%31 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Falcons27c5,177$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.324358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Buccaneers79c5,094$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.994062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Falcons32c5,084$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,465.731056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Buccaneers68c5,058$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,447.6820757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Buccaneers68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.978351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Buccaneers71c4,930$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50016737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Buccaneers76c4,928$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.052564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Buccaneers0c4,700$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Buccaneers79c4,680$3,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.5715944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Buccaneers72c4,636$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.8211237.5%42 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Buccaneers71c4,521$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.620646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaceb…6f8ebacked Buccaneers69c4,369$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbd2…d2dfbacked Buccaneers68c4,358$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Falcons20c4,106$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,273.4431854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.