TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Buccaneers, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Buccaneers52c26,093$13,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,568.119553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Falcons47c23,450$10,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,480.335850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Falcons49c20,444$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,444.1924056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Buccaneers51c19,883$10,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,156.125756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Falcons49c17,989$8,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,255.611,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Falcons46c17,278$7,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,330.0927454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Falcons50c12,069$6,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,034.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Falcons45c11,246$5,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,184.1573651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Buccaneers53c10,185$5,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,370.422454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Buccaneers50c9,663$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,831.5618140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d2…d3ebbacked Buccaneers50c9,566$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,783683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Buccaneers55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Buccaneers54c8,700$4,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6981861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Buccaneers52c7,443$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,904.5810648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Falcons45c6,356$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,495.7821254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Falcons48c5,719$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.7514154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Buccaneers50c5,001$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Falcons45c4,697$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.379245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Falcons45c4,145$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.328447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Falcons50c2,970$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.7786547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Buccaneers55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x477a…583ebacked Buccaneers50c2,022$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Buccaneers54c2,001$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.4211255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Buccaneers55c2,000$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.934641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaceb…6f8ebacked Buccaneers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x137b…2fd5backed Buccaneers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buccaneers55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Falcons50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Falcons52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Falcons47c1,615$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.8765048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Buccaneers55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503560%21 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Falcons45c1,337$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.4339447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Falcons42c1,313$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.747951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc7…cf77backed Buccaneers58c1,245$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7228144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Buccaneers51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Buccaneers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…6bdcbacked Buccaneers54c915.87$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd652…7ba5backed Buccaneers55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4862…59f7backed Buccaneers51c810$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.140%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Falcons45c782.48$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.364837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Buccaneers55c782.48$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.367436.5%27 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf41b…dd9dbacked Falcons50c780$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Falcons47c770.38$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.36841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Falcons50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35018744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Buccaneers52c694$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Buccaneers55c671.75$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.464065%26 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Falcons47c550$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Buccaneers50c541.69$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.236647%31 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Buccaneers56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked Buccaneers53c502.4$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.22347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Buccaneers53c498$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9426648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e1…4976backed Buccaneers50c481$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.51050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9be2…6410backed Buccaneers48c462.48$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Buccaneers56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22427835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Buccaneers55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22026857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Falcons49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20420949.8%104 W · 105 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Buccaneers55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29c…3851backed Falcons51c370$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Buccaneers57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d04…09f8backed Buccaneers51c340$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Buccaneers54c310.89$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.998143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Falcons51c299.92$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ec…daabbacked Falcons46c287.43$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.212161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Buccaneers55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d7…22c1backed Falcons46c272.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1474072.5%29 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+38.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Falcons50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12514949%73 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Falcons45c243$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6635648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Buccaneers55c229.29$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1112850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1770…9483backed Falcons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Buccaneers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Falcons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked Buccaneers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Falcons46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10831540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…0b7ebacked Buccaneers54c198.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Falcons54c197.92$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Buccaneers57c185.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8122745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Buccaneers54c183.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9611545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Buccaneers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008557.6%49 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaef…56aebacked Buccaneers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe211…9189backed Buccaneers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Falcons46c173.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9128047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Buccaneers54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816756.7%38 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Falcons46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.439348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Buccaneers54c128.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0160049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0662…1944backed Buccaneers55c126.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Buccaneers50c123.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.931643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Falcons46c121.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f62…e744backed Buccaneers54c113.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.042128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb102…c73dbacked Buccaneers55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2af2…9aa5backed Buccaneers55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Buccaneers50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Falcons43c101.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7653253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Falcons50c100.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Falcons46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Buccaneers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Buccaneers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310454.8%57 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7918…7f2abacked Buccaneers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3f…cc08backed Buccaneers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd64…c090backed Buccaneers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Buccaneers54c99.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.