NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9778f447d3191ff600ebd5ed45786572e81e366cd8dfbad1eba3636eec3698b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 35,906$18,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,512.04 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Over | 46c | 10,872$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 48c | 10,702$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565.15 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 46c | 8,873$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.99 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 47c | 8,632$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.3 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 52c | 8,253$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.49 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 7,395$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.04 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 43c | 4,859$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.81 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 57c | 4,681$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.7 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 55c | 2,719$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Over | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 2,248$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.4 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 45c | 2,247$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.5 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,833$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.71 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 1,326$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.28 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Over | 47c | 1,297$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 1,194$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.58 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Over | 49c | 809.2$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…eab7backed Over | 47c | 753.2$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 651.62$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.8 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Over | 47c | 554$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 54c | 525.22$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.62 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 517.05$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 54c | 488.04$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.54 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Under | 55c | 445.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…a297backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 56c | 381.78$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 370$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 46c | 347.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Over | 46c | 278.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…c7a8backed Under | 54c | 277.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Over | 46c | 216.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 48c | 207.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…5829backed Under | 56c | 178.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 151.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 55c | 138.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af4…e06cbacked Under | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Under | 54c | 129.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 55c | 121.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…3779backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed Over | 49c | 102.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Under | 51c | 97.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Under | 55c | 73.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1a…f71cbacked Over | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cd…640cbacked Over | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Under | 55c | 63.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5193…b348backed Under | 55c | 57.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0488…aea5backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…cde8backed Under | 38c | 41.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…d8ddbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…e16bbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bb…80c0backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Under | 53c | 37.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…f18bbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…e0dfbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…eca0backed Over | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 56c | 27.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…429fbacked Over | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe9abacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5this page
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Falcons won
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Falcons won
- Cade Otton: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Falcons vs. BuccaneersFalcons won
- Falcons vs. Buccaneers: 1H MoneylineFalcons won
- Falcons vs. Buccaneers: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.