TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Buccaneers, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Buccaneers48c54,703$26,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,093.6647348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Buccaneers46c35,387$16,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,331.061,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Falcons54c25,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,499.9931240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Falcons52c19,313$10,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,270.2720755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Falcons53c11,333$6,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,326.524053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Falcons53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9916051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Falcons51c9,889$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,845.654358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Buccaneers46c7,155$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.923937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Falcons52c6,411$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.0886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Buccaneers47c5,333$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.48128.4%23 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Falcons53c4,080$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.614837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Falcons53c3,739$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.6412550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Buccaneers46c3,615$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.137350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Falcons51c3,008$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.7725744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b22…c59cbacked Falcons53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4104949%24 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Buccaneers47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9915252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Falcons53c2,898$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.114744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Buccaneers48c2,475$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1883740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Falcons52c2,205$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.365048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Falcons54c2,185$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.195358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Falcons54c2,097$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.1477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Falcons54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92017251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Falcons52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Falcons58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84015555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Buccaneers48c1,551$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.3120039.5%79 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Buccaneers48c1,459$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.3853348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Falcons54c1,389$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.892948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Falcons53c1,291$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.7721254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Falcons54c1,288$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Buccaneers47c1,025$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.85756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Falcons53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.414252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Falcons54c764.26$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.564951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Falcons54c752.48$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.142147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Buccaneers47c641.28$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.45940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Falcons59c580$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5168446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Buccaneers46c551.7$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8236341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Buccaneers46c435$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.112151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Buccaneers47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017547.4%83 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Falcons54c420$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.28950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Falcons55c419.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1896540%26 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Buccaneers32c410$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13114818.2%27 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Buccaneers47c300.53$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4573651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Falcons53c286.83$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8329059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Buccaneers46c281.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6139447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Buccaneers46c275$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.54235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Falcons56c235$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Buccaneers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Buccaneers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006045%27 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd652…7ba5backed Buccaneers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Buccaneers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Buccaneers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Buccaneers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Falcons62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Buccaneers47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420632%66 W · 140 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Falcons54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9210537.1%39 W · 66 L-12.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Falcons54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9213845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Buccaneers47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.63056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Falcons58c155.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0919638.8%76 W · 120 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Buccaneers48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010940.4%44 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Falcons53c132.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.352441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Falcons53c131.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6550242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Buccaneers46c130$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4d3…ada0backed Falcons54c122.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.221172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Buccaneers47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Buccaneers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Buccaneers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016946.7%79 W · 90 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Buccaneers44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411048.2%53 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Falcons52c92.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Buccaneers58c86.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Buccaneers47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012245.9%56 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Falcons53c84.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Falcons63c83.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1520757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7227…5285backed Falcons42c81.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.154454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Falcons54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0716940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe43b…f955backed Falcons59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Buccaneers48c63.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2714337.8%54 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a8…9f0ebacked Buccaneers47c61.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Buccaneers44c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7632043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0488…aea5backed Falcons58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Buccaneers33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x042e…f947backed Buccaneers43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0011…74f0backed Falcons54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.36541.5%27 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Buccaneers44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205131.4%16 W · 35 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6127backed Buccaneers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Buccaneers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016048.1%77 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c6…9523backed Buccaneers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafbc…7976backed Buccaneers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Buccaneers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Falcons52c38.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.483953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb317…1893backed Falcons52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Falcons54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0426660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7de…bb18backed Buccaneers46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-84.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Falcons63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2529439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Buccaneers42c28.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9714952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Falcons66c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6454451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons53c24.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5915952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Falcons73c14.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8932347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.