TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Buccaneers, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,917,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,922,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,917,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Falcons47c2,225,141$1,045,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179,749.4986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Buccaneers53c2,158,033$1,143,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143,757.7117041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Buccaneers53c557,184$295,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295,307.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Falcons47c188,680$88,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,000.47951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Falcons48c184,477$88,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,083.4724957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Falcons47c145,555$68,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,144.157554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Buccaneers52c105,736$54,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,491.927454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Falcons47c35,500$16,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,81520755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Falcons48c30,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,50016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Falcons47c19,157$9,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,153.2110650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Buccaneers52c13,654$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1005648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Falcons47c10,450$4,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,538.54837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4db0…d3eabacked Buccaneers51c10,196$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buccaneers51c9,969$5,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,084.0951352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Buccaneers59c8,000$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,720922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Falcons47c6,657$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.5337350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Falcons47c6,087$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.1119152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Falcons47c5,582$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.971,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Falcons48c5,555$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.5624056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Falcons47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2263444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Falcons49c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,06026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694c…2546backed Buccaneers53c3,626$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.06785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Buccaneers49c3,414$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.7560049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Falcons51c3,400$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6662751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Buccaneers52c2,700$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4046453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Falcons50c2,081$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.515555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Falcons47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae5…b896backed Buccaneers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked Buccaneers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Falcons49c1,921$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.5815044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Buccaneers52c1,890$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.795940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Buccaneers51c1,799$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.3377052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Falcons48c1,700$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.2820354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Falcons51c1,225$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Buccaneers49c1,143$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.0739754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc85…3532backed Falcons47c1,120$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.61931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Falcons50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…3d07backed Falcons48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Buccaneers51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006549.2%32 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Buccaneers51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Buccaneers54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Buccaneers52c765.11$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.711547%54 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Buccaneers54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Falcons49c740.01$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3615944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Buccaneers51c701.38$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.467041.4%29 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Falcons50c595.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.393246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Falcons49c591.84$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397d…794fbacked Falcons48c577.08$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.087147.9%34 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Falcons48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Buccaneers54c493.86$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Buccaneers45c446.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003831.6%12 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Falcons50c442.04$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Buccaneers50c440$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8021…0da8backed Buccaneers54c430.24$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.64551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161c…3b03backed Falcons48c419.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.25756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Falcons50c400.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.816351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Buccaneers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c0…e3d9backed Buccaneers52c342.69$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Buccaneers52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…ebbfbacked Buccaneers51c277.39$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Buccaneers48c271.7$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1227644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Falcons49c255.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.119361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Falcons47c219.05$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Falcons48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.255345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Buccaneers51c204.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.13946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Falcons49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086051.7%31 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Falcons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Buccaneers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Buccaneers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0430…530abacked Buccaneers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…3e65backed Buccaneers57c191.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Falcons50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Buccaneers51c167.64$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.511445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Buccaneers51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.64748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x741c…73f3backed Falcons47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb714…4b06backed Buccaneers50c155.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c0…0aedbacked Buccaneers63c150.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Falcons55c149.09$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.096149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Falcons52c149$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.522634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Falcons41c140$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.611142.3%47 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bc…c942backed Falcons50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdf…3cbcbacked Buccaneers51c129.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Buccaneers51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Buccaneers51c117.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6236341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed Falcons63c110$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e2…1a77backed Buccaneers56c105$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaea…a809backed Falcons48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172650%13 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94d8…92ecbacked Falcons47c102.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Buccaneers53c102.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7910252.9%54 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Falcons50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Buccaneers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533129%9 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Falcons40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Buccaneers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Falcons50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe26b…bee7backed Buccaneers63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Falcons47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5331540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Buccaneers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509654.2%52 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Buccaneers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013024.6%32 W · 98 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fef…94afbacked Buccaneers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Buccaneers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.