MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab274b0c5b7ca046fccc5f7c36c33579d0ed038a2e8a52f5d60f742f8614aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 105,256$81,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,901.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 98,033$29,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,887.43 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 21c | 48,255$10,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,016.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 32,628$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 73c | 31,215$22,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,419.36 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 27,238$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.64 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 17,932$11,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,975.69 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 17,654$10,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,091.66 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 13,060$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 12,404$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…d878backed Seattle Mariners | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 10,726$6,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 75c | 9,024$6,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 8,784$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 7,535$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.35 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 6,446$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.99 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 6,142$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.59 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 5,577$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.88 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 5,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 5,129$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.68 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 4,464$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.74 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 4,336$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 4,066$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.11 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 3,668$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.53 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 3,467$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 3,398$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.48 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 3,073$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.59 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 3,030$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.91 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,939$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Seattle Mariners | 26c | 2,924$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.76 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 2,834$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 2,602$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.04 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,267$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.53 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 2,179$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.87 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 1,969$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,777$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 1,462$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.07 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,320$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.56 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,281$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.38 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,199$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Seattle Mariners | 25c | 1,186$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.93 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,182$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.74 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,146$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.31 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,105$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,048$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.42 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Seattle Mariners | 35c | 1,009$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 999.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 962.19$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.8 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Seattle Mariners | 12c | 931.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 923$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 876.82$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 845$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.65 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 818.65$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.44 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 783.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 756.24$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.47 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 734.38$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 678.65$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 626.5$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Kansas City Royals | 80c | 596.59$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 579.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.57 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 575.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 534$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.06 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kansas City Royals | 79c | 530$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3514…5993backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 495$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 473.63$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.71 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 467$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Seattle Mariners | 31c | 462.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 445.77$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 440$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 438.03$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 431.45$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 425.6$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 400.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 400$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 396.29$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 393.81$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 370.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 358.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 336.83$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 335.26$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 333.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Seattle Mariners | 31c | 328.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 304.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 12.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.