NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1485aef420d29646463cafdf3fba5fa99aee0d3621ab5217e86871c83ea8d9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Avalanche | 48c | 2,613$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Panthers | 52c | 2,516$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 47c | 2,007$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.26 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,421$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Panthers | 49c | 1,120$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 45c | 847.04$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.11 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Panthers | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Panthers | 39c | 489.74$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Avalanche | 55c | 345.8$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 45c | 303.45$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Avalanche | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Avalanche | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Avalanche | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Panthers | 53c | 198.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche | 47c | 198.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Panthers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Avalanche | 46c | 99.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Panthers | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Avalanche | 46c | 70.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Panthers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Avalanche | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Panthers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Avalanche | 46c | 43.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 46c | 41.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Panthers | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Avalanche | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 53c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Avalanche | 46c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4763backed Avalanche | 62c | 18.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Panthers vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.