TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Panthers, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$407,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9e6…025bbacked Avalanche70c61,831$43,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,830.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0da…1f3cbacked Panthers0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers30c13,495$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,048.4247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche77c11,357$8,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.816163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche68c10,856$7,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.1133652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers22c10,374$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.191,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche71c10,088$7,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.451,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Avalanche73c9,044$6,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.3310565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Panthers0c7,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Panthers31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Panthers32c6,820$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Avalanche80c6,200$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2401450%7 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Panthers0c6,093$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.432504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers20c6,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19026344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Avalanche80c5,916$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.213363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Panthers29c5,844$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.7362951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Panthers36c5,625$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99918840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers30c5,625$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.851,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers31c5,224$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.522,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Panthers26c4,545$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.632,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Panthers1c4,320$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3118520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Panthers32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2806443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Panthers30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Panthers32c3,546$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.1251452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche68c3,333$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Panthers31c3,333$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.2322546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Avalanche68c3,313$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.684344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers30c3,265$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.562,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche68c3,092$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.3754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cd…206fbacked Panthers33c2,895$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Panthers27c2,430$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.3182043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Avalanche68c2,353$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.9416843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Panthers32c2,159$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.9314253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Panthers33c2,152$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche74c1,998$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.7885250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…1e8bbacked Panthers29c1,894$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.221533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Avalanche77c1,800$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40624347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Panthers24c1,712$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9529926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers20c1,699$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.143,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d8…a851backed Avalanche68c1,490$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.631442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9b…4193backed Panthers32c1,488$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.161250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers33c1,398$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.7879350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Avalanche69c1,323$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.7310255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Panthers23c1,250$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7523047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Avalanche69c1,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4247256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Panthers25c1,117$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.659050%45 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Panthers31c1,111$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.412343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Panthers21c1,100$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8123754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad66…bcefbacked Avalanche69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+58.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Panthers1c1,068$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Panthers33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Panthers30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Panthers30c999.97$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers30c963$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.91,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Panthers33c939.39$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31020047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers26c924.29$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.292,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers30c923.21$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.761,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers18c919.4$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.491,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7e…20a7backed Panthers31c810$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Panthers22c727$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9413435.8%48 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Panthers32c725.69$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2230152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche71c720.63$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.982254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0bc…d556backed Panthers31c687.81$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce29…9147backed Avalanche70c687.14$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.142458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panthers25c682.78$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Panthers32c625.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.098425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x038f…ba58backed Panthers32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Panthers32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19212648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Avalanche70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4313060%78 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c8…ac99backed Avalanche69c565.99$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Avalanche69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Panthers4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Panthers35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17548050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Panthers30c491$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.347848.1%230 W · 248 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Panthers25c439.75$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc7…4f71backed Avalanche69c433.98$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Avalanche69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12414245.1%64 W · 78 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Panthers31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12443944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Avalanche68c383.8$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0510143.6%44 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Panthers31c371.46$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1511537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers31c363.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.831,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Avalanche69c356.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3735245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed Panthers8c340.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711713.7%16 W · 101 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Avalanche71c338.86$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2712252.5%64 W · 58 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef7…fba9backed Panthers22c330$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.93520%7 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Panthers33c309.09$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Panthers31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9375946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Avalanche68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9634653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche66c300$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36da…aa79backed Panthers33c298.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.423423.5%8 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x288c…8859backed Panthers31c290$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dba…c816backed Panthers21c283.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Panthers20c271.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3413448.5%65 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Panthers32c265.63$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856857.4%39 W · 29 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.