Olympics · resolved market
Men's Final - Canada vs. USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e563b035b466369c6d05a9dea8cd4d8500f435dbbb6f3d5e4ec85628bde67e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof Canada, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,926,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,387,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,926,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed USA | 46c | 621,894$286,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335,823 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canada | 53c | 455,648$241,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241,400.89 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed USA | 76c | 270,000$206,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,750 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Canada | 54c | 217,636$117,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,523.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed USA | 47c | 200,078$93,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,081.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…8014backed Canada | 54c | 122,915$66,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,374.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed USA | 47c | 110,000$51,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Canada | 54c | 110,000$59,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,399.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Canada | 1c | 100,216$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…099fbacked Canada | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked USA | 46c | 78,373$36,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,321.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed USA | 58c | 75,516$43,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,550.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked USA | 66c | 52,190$34,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,903.45 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Canada | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…0926backed Canada | 53c | 46,952$24,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,884.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canada | 54c | 44,228$23,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,662.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Canada | 42c | 43,934$18,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,323.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…8c8bbacked Canada | 30c | 33,556$10,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,064.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canada | 54c | 30,716$16,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,568.53 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed USA | 45c | 30,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked USA | 46c | 26,998$12,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,578.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked USA | 46c | 25,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed USA | 51c | 23,539$12,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,426.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…d5f4backed USA | 46c | 23,391$10,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,631.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…181cbacked Canada | 55c | 22,755$12,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,515.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…4665backed Canada | 47c | 22,222$10,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed USA | 53c | 21,978$11,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,329.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked USA | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked USA | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Canada | 54c | 20,067$10,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,836.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canada | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.98 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Canada | 53c | 19,998$10,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,598.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed USA | 46c | 18,887$8,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,262.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canada | 52c | 18,206$9,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,531.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Canada | 53c | 16,624$8,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,843.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e54…8222backed USA | 64c | 16,515$10,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed USA | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed USA | 46c | 13,260$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,160.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Canada | 30c | 12,642$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed Canada | 54c | 12,027$6,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Canada | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…f89cbacked Canada | 40c | 11,965$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed USA | 47c | 11,849$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,306.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Canada | 53c | 11,500$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Canada | 9c | 11,143$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed USA | 61c | 11,114$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked Canada | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked USA | 47c | 10,700$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,671 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Canada | 54c | 10,124$5,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,441.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed Canada | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked USA | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed USA | 46c | 9,779$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed USA | 46c | 9,564$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa0…09b4backed Canada | 54c | 9,160$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Canada | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Canada | 53c | 8,818$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,673.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Canada | 53c | 8,500$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canada | 52c | 8,258$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.62 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed USA | 48c | 8,054$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Canada | 52c | 8,000$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Canada | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked USA | 63c | 7,791$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14f…233bbacked Canada | 39c | 7,776$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Canada | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Canada | 45c | 6,568$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed USA | 46c | 6,519$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Canada | 52c | 6,488$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked USA | 55c | 6,469$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…b069backed USA | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed USA | 65c | 6,377$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed USA | 47c | 6,362$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Canada | 54c | 6,173$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…b97cbacked Canada | 54c | 6,167$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed USA | 56c | 6,164$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Canada | 54c | 6,159$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…15d9backed Canada | 37c | 6,081$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Canada | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Canada | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed USA | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed USA | 47c | 5,745$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Canada | 54c | 5,745$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked USA | 56c | 5,614$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed USA | 55c | 5,577$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Canada | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Canada | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed USA | 46c | 5,389$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed USA | 47c | 5,315$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked USA | 56c | 5,100$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed USA | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked USA | 57c | 5,000$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.99 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed USA | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked USA | 64c | 4,990$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed USA | 46c | 4,985$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…1017backed Canada | 54c | 4,843$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed USA | 51c | 4,569$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.75 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…460ebacked USA | 46c | 4,549$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…4108backed USA | 46c | 4,346$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed USA | 46c | 4,247$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed USA | 46c | 4,013$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked USA | 50c | 4,010$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Men's Final - Canada vs. USAthis page
- Canada vs. USA: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)USA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.