Olympics · resolved market
Canada vs. USA: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd4cb755d8403fbe0f53e70808d2ee1618541684e83655c74f05ac7c22cae73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 59c | 25,025$14,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,310.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 41c | 19,698$8,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,076.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 59c | 4,352$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Over | 42c | 3,400$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Over | 41c | 2,238$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Over | 40c | 2,216$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 54c | 1,483$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 41c | 1,146$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Under | 59c | 775.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Over | 2c | 754.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Over | 3c | 732.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 41c | 664$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Under | 60c | 566.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Over | 47c | 500$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 41c | 449.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Over | 41c | 409.76$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 329.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 15c | 315.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Over | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 42c | 290$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Under | 78c | 255.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Over | 43c | 231.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…80a2backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 41c | 148.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 42c | 145$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…25dfbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…adb4backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ae…97c0backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Under | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 68c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…7c0abacked Over | 42c | 85.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Under | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Over | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…94adbacked Over | 14c | 72.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 60c | 71.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…aad9backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 60.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…0669backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ad4dbacked Over | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6454backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…253ebacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 59c | 43.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…cca1backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…4d2bbacked Under | 60c | 31.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 41c | 30.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3390…b960backed Over | 41c | 30.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…742cbacked Over | 41c | 29.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83cb…829dbacked Under | 60c | 27.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…4793backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 61c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. USA: O/U 5.5this page
- Men's Final - Canada vs. USAUSA won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)USA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.