TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Jazz, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,091,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,986,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,091,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz11c258,625$28,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229,679.651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Jazz14c123,229$17,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,681.6212147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz12c85,740$10,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,665.92,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Jazz11c76,231$8,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,543.836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz10c72,500$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,059.5747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz11c64,353$7,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,953.752,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Spurs62c56,537$34,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,985.8437539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz49c56,439$27,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,784.881,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs60c49,988$29,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,899.4434062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Spurs55c47,762$26,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,051.999336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Jazz10c39,980$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,982.0836741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs32c38,428$12,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,407.611,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs9c37,658$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.0125925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz13c35,012$4,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,506.0335235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Jazz13c27,500$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,92510244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Jazz48c25,738$12,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,290.4644654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Spurs50c22,077$11,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,08821944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Jazz14c20,005$2,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,204.1920551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Jazz10c20,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,999.748827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Jazz49c18,893$9,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,590.9527251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs49c17,742$8,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,614.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs44c15,700$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,850.41,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Jazz11c14,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,459.9621446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs49c13,433$6,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,596.41,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Jazz11c13,345$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,895.4216635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz10c11,282$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,189.8362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…9313backed Jazz11c10,115$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,961.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+338.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz13c10,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,75038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Jazz59c9,349$5,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,875.215274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz32c8,709$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,940.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Jazz45c8,250$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,514.9712143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0827…9b5dbacked Spurs77c8,031$6,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,178.66540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Jazz14c8,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,879.9719048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz13c7,229$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,289.391,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz11c7,100$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3191,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Jazz15c7,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,95047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz38c6,235$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.4148845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs46c6,224$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.6381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs45c6,077$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.821,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz13c6,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz10c6,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9261835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fc…823cbacked Spurs76c5,783$4,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,410.71921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.34per pick55cpaid-54.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd8ef…b642backed Jazz10c5,659$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,079.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+128.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Jazz12c5,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Jazz11c5,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4503844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Jazz67c4,858$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.5434456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jazz29c4,829$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.7934227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d7…9addbacked Spurs73c4,741$3,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,447.452548%12 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz50c4,564$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Jazz11c4,545$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.4512531.2%39 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Jazz43c4,509$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.2148046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Jazz20c4,347$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,486.642744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jazz36c4,271$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.7647542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72c…a633backed Spurs79c4,200$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3269953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Jazz14c3,623$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.7162546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz45c3,579$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.351,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz14c3,571$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.4346632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219d…db61backed Jazz50c3,419$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.633043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Jazz10c3,300$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,97040035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz11c3,182$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.8224831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a22…63b2backed Jazz11c3,091$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.915250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Jazz30c3,038$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.0610451%53 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Spurs58c3,005$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75340041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb50a…f151backed Jazz14c3,000$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.611361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+73%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3614…0468backed Jazz10c2,995$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+149.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz72c2,941$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.422,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Jazz12c2,539$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.4421538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz13c2,500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.4744648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1425backed Jazz41c2,410$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.793450%17 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cf…b71fbacked Jazz11c2,364$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.6410959.6%65 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Jazz50c2,205$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10538649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Jazz54c2,194$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.943773%27 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Jazz57c2,108$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.823070%21 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs68c2,007$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.4573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Jazz13c2,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.0113625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Spurs2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Jazz14c2,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.9918045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs62c2,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.994868.8%33 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Jazz10c2,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9764139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd379…c870backed Jazz53c1,976$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7d…9e7abacked Spurs66c1,951$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.213033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Spurs35c1,902$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.685541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2909…ba8bbacked Jazz11c1,900$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.99425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…5af7backed Spurs47c1,897$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Spurs8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Jazz54c1,837$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.2925146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Jazz11c1,818$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.1842827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Jazz56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.0347949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Spurs47c1,734$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.6427144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Spurs6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2db…4149backed Jazz12c1,650$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4521442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Jazz61c1,637$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.2247856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz16c1,630$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.751,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Spurs42c1,624$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68216136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Spurs77c1,600$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.967349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Jazz64c1,569$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.536758.2%39 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Jazz64c1,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8712541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jazz11c1,557$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.062,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs45c1,549$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.4382442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jazz13c1,539$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.9291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.