TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,064 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3080…5f29backed Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon+$4,699.992369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c8,114$3,814 inLost-$3,813.642,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over48c3,046$1,461 inLost-$1,460.791,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c3,043$1,613 inWon+$1,430.21,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over50c1,989$1,000 inLost-$1,00027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,261$595 inLost-$595.329,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under52c961.54$500 inWon+$461.5422756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c653$303 inLost-$302.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under51c588.97$303 inWon+$285.9762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c574.92$299 inWon+$275.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe86c…2d4abacked Under51c470.59$240 inWon+$230.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c399.99$196 inLost-$19684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under53c361$193 inWon+$168.062,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Under52c300$156 inWon+$1448644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c200$90 inLost-$901,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c100$50 inWon+$5072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over48c100$48 inLost-$4847738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over50c100$50 inLost-$5074547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over47c63.51$30 inLost-$29.8493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over48c54$26 inLost-$25.9237949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Under56c53.57$30 inWon+$23.5724955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c53.57$24 inLost-$23.574,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under51c40$20 inWon+$19.610143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.228955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.2222347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c7…ca6cbacked Over48c33.02$16 inLost-$15.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Over49c32$16 inLost-$15.682152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under52c30.08$16 inWon+$14.4487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7590…d6e0backed Under56c26.79$15 inWon+$11.794158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over44c25$11 inLost-$112,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under53c20$11 inWon+$9.41,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.