MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe593960738d5dd5dd245b812a0b2dbb35ecc30da45d91c22d27be3271a8c55e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $626,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $669,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa945…110fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 143,848$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 28,992$12,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,235.52 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,099.97 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 21,732$12,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,170 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 17,446$9,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,769.57 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 17,186$7,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,564.23 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 15,068$11,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.87 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 12,405$8,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.37 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 11,833$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,508.25 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 11,654$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.13 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 11,420$7,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.31 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…707dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 9,804$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.39 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 9,582$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.1 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 7,953$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.29 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 7,885$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 5,319$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.18 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f48…93c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 4,773$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 4,047$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.26 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 3,348$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.23 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,177$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 2,636$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.96 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,523$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 2,500$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 2,055$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 2,016$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,961$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,919$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 1,775$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.22 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,722$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.7 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,698$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.06 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,488$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,464$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.29 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 1,164$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 1,096$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 1,062$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,015$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,014$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.76 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 1,011$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 994.62$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…3266backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 991.93$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 986.07$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.2 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 970.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 966.4$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 810.71$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 802.04$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.18 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…544dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 776.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 737.75$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 679.89$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.62 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 659.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…2656backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 644.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.57 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 635.89$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.45 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 605.55$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.24 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 603.47$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 590.82$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…3991backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 521.55$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 516.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.83 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 509.92$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.79 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 495.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.21 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 473.83$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 443.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 419.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.77 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 329.42$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 327$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 322.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 309.69$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 302.92$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 294.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 287.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 267.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 260.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 249.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 245.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 239.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 236.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 226.01$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 218.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 207.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 204.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…a15bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 202.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 199.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 195.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 193.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.