MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e6cc4b6f7f7d474ea08e5f5a911d7b00ad4187808905e681b011a4c29bb27bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 8,862$5,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 2,337$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 44c | 1,933$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.43 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 42c | 1,741$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.29 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 1,688$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.65 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 45c | 1,618$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.22 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 35c | 1,411$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 1,382$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.62 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,104$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.03 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 42c | 1,065$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.18 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Over | 47c | 1,032$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.48 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 1,010$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.37 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 56c | 862.51$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.57 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 718.22$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.38 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 44c | 696.77$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.58 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 673.34$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 47c | 620.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 604.91$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.16 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 543.86$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 44c | 536.35$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 402.33$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 70c | 370.2$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 41c | 365.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 43c | 303.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 300.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 45c | 299.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 42c | 276.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 186$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 44c | 180.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 31c | 167.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 28c | 165.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 40c | 159.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 154.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 130.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 40c | 128.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 104.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 99.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 56c | 98.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 24c | 98.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 96.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 65c | 90.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Under | 67c | 80.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 72.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 59c | 72.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 59c | 72.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 59c | 72.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 45c | 64.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8ac3backed Over | 42c | 61.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 44c | 55.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 52.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 66c | 49.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 45c | 49.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Over | 46c | 46.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 54c | 43.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 71c | 43.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…9c13backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 61c | 39.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 44c | 37.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 30c | 37.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 43c | 33.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de4…8b3cbacked Over | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 37c | 32.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 62c | 30.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 59c | 27.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Under | 56c | 26.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 54c | 26.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 46c | 25.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 56c | 25.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 58c | 24.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Under | 55c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 63c | 17.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 58c | 17.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.