Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab3c326897551c852d6d44cd98fbcd8d4c45f2569360d8107a4bd3eec6c9683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisco Cerundoloof Francisco Cerundolo, Luciano Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luciano Darderi | 11c | 24,829$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Luciano Darderi | 11c | 22,183$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.44 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Luciano Darderi | 35c | 19,897$6,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,964.08 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Luciano Darderi | 12c | 11,300$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.51 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francisco Cerundolo | 70c | 11,186$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 9,009$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.99 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 5,492$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.91 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Luciano Darderi | 17c | 4,867$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Francisco Cerundolo | 72c | 4,326$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.77 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Luciano Darderi | 35c | 4,113$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.54 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Luciano Darderi | 36c | 3,540$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.41 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Luciano Darderi | 24c | 3,022$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.05 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Luciano Darderi | 10c | 2,838$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Luciano Darderi | 1c | 2,273$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Luciano Darderi | 24c | 2,029$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Luciano Darderi | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Luciano Darderi | 32c | 2,000$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.41 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Francisco Cerundolo | 74c | 1,995$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.81 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Luciano Darderi | 35c | 1,825$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.87 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…3cdcbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 1,506$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Luciano Darderi | 34c | 1,491$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.11 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luciano Darderi | 18c | 1,445$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Luciano Darderi | 13c | 1,373$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 72c | 1,369$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.39 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…1a2ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 1,357$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279f…6629backed Luciano Darderi | 34c | 1,339$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luciano Darderi | 9c | 1,092$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Luciano Darderi | 34c | 1,030$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Luciano Darderi | 35c | 931.87$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.15 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 926.32$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.48 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Luciano Darderi | 8c | 919.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 901.83$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.64 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francisco Cerundolo | 77c | 868.35$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 833.82$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.39 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Luciano Darderi | 35c | 768.8$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.08 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Luciano Darderi | 15c | 759.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luciano Darderi | 13c | 625.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Luciano Darderi | 11c | 619.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…20abbacked Luciano Darderi | 34c | 559.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Luciano Darderi | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Luciano Darderi | 34c | 530.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Luciano Darderi | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…b09cbacked Luciano Darderi | 7c | 503.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Luciano Darderi | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 448.72$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luciano Darderi | 34c | 393.17$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 376.23$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Luciano Darderi | 34c | 365.77$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 365.4$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Luciano Darderi | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 359.37$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 349.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Luciano Darderi | 12c | 343.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Francisco Cerundolo | 67c | 337.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 335.97$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Luciano Darderi | 15c | 319.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 298.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Luciano Darderi | 34c | 297.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…fe01backed Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…1d4abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 296.77$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da5…8b2ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 296.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Luciano Darderi | 8c | 293.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Luciano Darderi | 13c | 291.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Luciano Darderi | 35c | 276.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Francisco Cerundolo | 73c | 270.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 263.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed Luciano Darderi | 10c | 245.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked Luciano Darderi | 10c | 245.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luciano Darderi | 7c | 244.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 239.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Luciano Darderi | 6c | 229$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…2206backed Luciano Darderi | 17c | 228.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 108 | 25.9%28 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…eea1backed Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 225.31$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 218.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 211.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Luciano Darderi | 10c | 209.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…293ebacked Luciano Darderi | 8c | 204.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 78c | 201.57$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 74 | 73%54 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Luciano Darderi | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Luciano Darderi | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Luciano Darderi | 9c | 183.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa624…a992backed Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 143.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Luciano Darderi | 34c | 140.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Luciano Darderi | 35c | 137.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Luciano Darderi | 30c | 137.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…3d1bbacked Luciano Darderi | 35c | 136.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Francisco Cerundolo | 73c | 136.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Luciano Darderi | 19c | 125.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…e28fbacked Luciano Darderi | 9c | 117.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Luciano Darderi | 10c | 113.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Luciano Darderi | 11c | 112.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Luciano Darderi | 30c | 101.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Luciano Darderi | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs DarderiCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.