TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd923…7ba3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+191.8%+$23.96
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensikbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverevbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$68.39
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.41
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.31
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.23
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$4.82
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$77.94
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.46
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.32
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.17
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Laura Pigossi vs Katarina Zavatskabacked Katarina Zavatska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.93
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Mitchell Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Sabalenka vs. Zheng: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.21
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.54
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.31
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.3
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.24
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.91
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.13
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.63
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.