Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8336b00a117af50a809662719a299ed686911284d4500e372c629ed6110c3b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 65c | 14,215$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 66c | 4,600$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.93 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 4,060$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.24 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes | 55c | 3,211$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 35c | 2,770$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 2,661$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.72 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 35c | 2,143$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 65c | 1,632$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.28 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 21c | 1,574$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 1,162$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.7 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,107$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 990.17$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.58 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 916.71$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.17 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 838.94$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.76 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 57c | 692.75$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.58 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 25c | 519.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 500.16$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 500$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 73c | 408.43$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…e39ebacked Yes | 58c | 399.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 66c | 381.77$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 34c | 374.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 42c | 356.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 42c | 356.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 42c | 350.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 34c | 348.54$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 42c | 341.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…1d61backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 37c | 285.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 280.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 40c | 262.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 249.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 34c | 248.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Yes | 63c | 247.68$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Yes | 45c | 224.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Yes | 60c | 224.09$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 37c | 206.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 203.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 58c | 199.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 54c | 185.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 57c | 175.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 34c | 165.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed No | 36c | 164.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 34c | 162.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 64c | 160.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed No | 34c | 159.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 34c | 152.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 34c | 151.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 34c | 151.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes | 55c | 150.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 36c | 149.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 34c | 148.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed No | 35c | 144.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 34c | 142.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 34c | 139.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 34c | 137.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 34c | 137.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 34c | 137.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 47c | 129.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed No | 35c | 114.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 65c | 107.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 65c | 107.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 65c | 104.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 34c | 102$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 34c | 101.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 99.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 38c | 92.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 13c | 89.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 89.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 34c | 87.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…8c25backed No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 76c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 53c | 75.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 34c | 74.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 35c | 72.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 70.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 36c | 69.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 64c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 34c | 64.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed No | 35c | 62.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 36c | 61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…2dd9backed Yes | 66c | 60.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked No | 34c | 60.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will FC Schalke 04 vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.