Mls · resolved market
Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa0f10efd6d326ecbc3ffbea63c1854fa4843f07ad005f6ea3abb8977607cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 50c | 189,309$94,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,474.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 50c | 107,258$54,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,117.92 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 19,020$9,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,510 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 50c | 11,417$5,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,708.65 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 10,500$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.15 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 50c | 10,100$5,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,061.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 7,321$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.27 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 6,351$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.19 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 52c | 5,779$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…1227backed Under | 50c | 4,888$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 54c | 4,317$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 3,910$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 3,909$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 2,793$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.77 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 2,500$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.3 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 2,328$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.21 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 44c | 1,862$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.28 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,272$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.72 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 1,028$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.29 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 21c | 990.26$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 46c | 876.65$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.26 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 856.2$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.8 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 47c | 854.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 47c | 854.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 787.27$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.54 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 55c | 750$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.33 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 39c | 735.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.03 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 48c | 670.76$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 645.9$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.93 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 645.9$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.93 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 48c | 645.9$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.93 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 48c | 617.61$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.49 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 50c | 500$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 46c | 448.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 44c | 424$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Under | 44c | 401.72$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Under | 44c | 378.69$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 47c | 370.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 55c | 331.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 48c | 280.06$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 50c | 272.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 44c | 272.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 248.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 235$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 44c | 218.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 79c | 217.54$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 214.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 53c | 201.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 46c | 199.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 199.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Over | 39c | 194.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 58c | 179.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 37c | 179$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 44c | 171.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 167.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 163$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 49c | 157$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 145.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 49c | 143.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 47c | 141.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 72c | 138.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 119.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 103$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 25c | 99.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 44c | 94.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 85.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Over | 56c | 85.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 47c | 85.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 56c | 85.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 50c | 83.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 40c | 81.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 49c | 80.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 49c | 80.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 53c | 77.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Under | 53c | 76.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 49c | 75.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 47c | 75.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 68c | 73.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 56c | 72.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 50c | 68.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.