TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Real Salt Lakeof Real Salt Lake, Sporting Kansas City
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Real Salt Lake57c68,247$38,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,374.5815647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Sporting Kansas City43c33,381$14,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,353.8323858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sporting Kansas City43c9,042$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.7337138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Real Salt Lake57c8,970$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.12751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sporting Kansas City40c7,502$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.413,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Sporting Kansas City46c7,283$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.0913053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Sporting Kansas City43c5,200$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-78%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sporting Kansas City43c5,022$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.0397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Real Salt Lake54c3,370$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.374751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Sporting Kansas City43c2,798$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.131040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Real Salt Lake64c2,369$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.3916453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Sporting Kansas City43c1,753$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.59825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Sporting Kansas City40c1,379$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.133228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sporting Kansas City44c1,372$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.9725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Real Salt Lake70c1,371$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3139567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Sporting Kansas City43c1,267$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.653863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Sporting Kansas City43c1,255$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.68563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Sporting Kansas City43c1,255$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.614151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Sporting Kansas City43c1,204$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.699458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Sporting Kansas City43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Sporting Kansas City43c816.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.5342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Sporting Kansas City47c599.88$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.946155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…4d90backed Real Salt Lake56c562.5$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Sporting Kansas City43c501.9$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8210655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Real Salt Lake57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Sporting Kansas City43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Sporting Kansas City43c465$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.959652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Sporting Kansas City43c416.96$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.299250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Sporting Kansas City43c360.46$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Real Salt Lake71c351.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.869239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Sporting Kansas City43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Real Salt Lake54c312.39$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Real Salt Lake49c266.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.584656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Real Salt Lake53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Sporting Kansas City28c241.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.592744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Sporting Kansas City43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Sporting Kansas City44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Sporting Kansas City37c217.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.641323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sporting Kansas City43c203.34$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8113948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Real Salt Lake54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Sporting Kansas City51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Sporting Kansas City48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.424351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Real Salt Lake58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Sporting Kansas City45c164.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.682044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Real Salt Lake56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.711478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+61.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Real Salt Lake75c160.71$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.183234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c77…55a4backed Real Salt Lake54c152.37$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7608…92e2backed Sporting Kansas City48c152$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sporting Kansas City39c149.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sporting Kansas City37c143.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8821545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sporting Kansas City45c139.21$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Real Salt Lake55c135.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.392433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Real Salt Lake57c116$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.882462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sporting Kansas City34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4739234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Sporting Kansas City44c98.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.116555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sporting Kansas City51c95.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9746156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Real Salt Lake71c94.47$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Real Salt Lake65c92.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sporting Kansas City32c85.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.41,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Sporting Kansas City39c81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8628721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Sporting Kansas City28c80.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.521833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Real Salt Lake61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Sporting Kansas City43c68.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.664845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sporting Kansas City52c65.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Sporting Kansas City45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Sporting Kansas City43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Real Salt Lake73c57.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Sporting Kansas City39c57.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.482965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Sporting Kansas City30c56.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.815569.1%38 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Real Salt Lake41c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4511441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Sporting Kansas City59c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4510353.4%55 W · 48 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Sporting Kansas City43c53.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Sporting Kansas City37c48.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.862343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Real Salt Lake56c46.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Real Salt Lake53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.15977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+102.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Real Salt Lake49c44.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.913855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb277…c7eebacked Sporting Kansas City43c44.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Sporting Kansas City47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Real Salt Lake55c42.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9617858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Real Salt Lake72c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.482152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Sporting Kansas City56c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Sporting Kansas City48c39.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Sporting Kansas City43c34.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Sporting Kansas City43c34.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Sporting Kansas City51c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Sporting Kansas City44c28.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Sporting Kansas City41c28.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.584753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Sporting Kansas City45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Real Salt Lake53c26.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3324859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Real Salt Lake53c26.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.333461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sporting Kansas City44c25.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1258043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Sporting Kansas City43c24.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41090%9 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+79.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Salt Lake51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sporting Kansas City46c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Sporting Kansas City53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114660.9%28 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36cb…5bb7backed Real Salt Lake56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Real Salt Lake72c14.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0430957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.