Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a048abf9de5428213360bb58481719fd7d2e681a2563d6e10b78c96ca6438f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.9 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Envy | 25c | 1,515$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.86 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Team Envy | 34c | 1,437$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Envy | 58c | 554.26$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.47 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Envy | 56c | 477.27$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked Leviatán Esports | 44c | 461.24$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.29 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Team Envy | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Team Envy | 34c | 279.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Team Envy | 55c | 266.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 250.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Team Envy | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 175.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Envy | 57c | 149.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Team Envy | 25c | 133.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Team Envy | 55c | 133.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Team Envy | 61c | 117.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Team Envy | 34c | 111.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Team Envy | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Team Envy | 25c | 99.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Team Envy | 60c | 98.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…0c68backed Leviatán Esports | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Team Envy | 35c | 43.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed Team Envy | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked Team Envy | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Leviatán Esports | 43c | 38.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Team Envy | 56c | 35.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 34.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Team Envy | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…a73ebacked Team Envy | 61c | 19.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.