TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$384,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes30c247,970$73,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,438.4118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No71c48,371$34,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,079.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes29c47,650$14,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,028.384238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No71c46,915$33,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,605.213167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No70c25,403$17,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,503.7613049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c22,674$15,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,687.475,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No71c12,348$8,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.773268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No69c9,882$6,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.313151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed No71c9,782$6,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No70c9,765$6,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No70c9,128$6,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.318643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed No69c8,234$5,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.481560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No71c7,403$5,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.343151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c7,153$5,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.328,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No70c6,781$4,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No71c6,748$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.78850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Yes27c5,664$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.932634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No70c4,942$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.721770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No68c4,905$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes31c4,156$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.1416534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No69c4,071$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.945660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No70c4,032$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.0747756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2803360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed No69c3,964$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked No71c2,768$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.691450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No69c2,761$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.682,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No69c2,507$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.49366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No70c2,212$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No70c1,495$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.4833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c1,477$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.651,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c1,371$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.671,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No71c1,230$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.636757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No71c1,188$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.8410564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c1,156$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.021,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes24c1,080$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4539127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c1,076$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.711,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No69c1,054$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7211763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked No69c1,046$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No70c991.64$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.568961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No69c990.56$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.282171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No69c975.14$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.861643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c957.3$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.061,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No71c893.21$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.84637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a0b…c5f8backed Yes33c728.39$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed No72c646.21$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.93773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No74c632.86$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0812361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No74c612.16$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0628158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No68c578.59$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes31c541.79$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3610922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No73c541.77$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0441256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No70c541.28$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0716160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No70c528.41$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4617857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c525.65$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0857157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No73c524.51$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9233560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No73c524.51$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c521.59$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.61,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No72c510$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.811963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c500$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.672,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes30c499.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c490.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.31,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes17c475.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.691118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No69c424.62$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No71c414.08$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.277857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No67c392.08$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3910155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No71c391.21$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1826160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No69c377.63$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1184100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed No71c366.59$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.312065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No80c357.56$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.513366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No74c356.87$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4955155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked No69c351.67$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes20c339.4$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.88478.5%4 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c330.47$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.271,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes30c320.39$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.124738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes31c309.35$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.869344.1%41 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed No71c300.68$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.24667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked No71c294.78$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75cf…3ee4backed No70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No71c276.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.277955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No70c273.64$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.773066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No70c260.93$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.281758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No70c247.84$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2918154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Yes31c233.16$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No71c220.35$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.17957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No70c218.07$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.426842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked No68c211.77$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No71c196.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No75c181.24$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.316369.8%44 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c180.3$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.771,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No70c172.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2621359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No69c166.13$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No68c160.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No70c152.91$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.871656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f1…e20dbacked Yes17c151.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Yes30c150.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.03650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.965832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Yes34c144.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.543253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.