South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab4d3a97e54dc7bd2bed593ac787cf6dbbe1948386bd41fc65a55ad1f5949ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 4,151$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.58 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 72c | 1,919$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.49 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 1,260$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.61 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 811.75$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.11 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b7…5918backed Yes | 31c | 767.82$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 19c | 752.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 31c | 650$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 581.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 32c | 537.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.26 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 50c | 499.91$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 458.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 423.34$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 276.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 252.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 34c | 211$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 68c | 189.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 39c | 144.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Yes | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 114.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 69c | 83.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 33c | 71.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 66c | 68.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed No | 32c | 59.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed No | 68c | 57.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…5214backed Yes | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 53.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 51.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 68c | 50.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 79c | 49.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 70c | 37.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7daebacked Yes | 48c | 25.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 46c | 24.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 23.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed No | 62c | 22.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 77c | 17.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…582ebacked No | 70c | 16.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 15.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…fb4abacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-07?No won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.