TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes51c63,964$32,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,599.331040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes50c18,563$9,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,195.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+68.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No50c10,865$5,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,431.511361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No50c8,520$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2601050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c7,076$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.3298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No49c6,734$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.6611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c6,340$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c6,008$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.6147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No49c5,633$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e3…d750backed No50c4,222$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No9c3,909$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.813049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes63c3,776$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.8714060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed No49c3,668$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.0533444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c3,316$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.115119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.962763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No8c2,615$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.649431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No39c2,500$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9659336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c1,259$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.0623551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No11c1,220$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2724732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes75c1,187$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No6c1,170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3930536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No29c915$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3510837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No19c900$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.346129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No50c816.22$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.111643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No50c776.85$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.994148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No50c710.59$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9930055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes74c676.72$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No50c634.85$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.425255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No50c573.47$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.745257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No50c512.99$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.57549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17a1…8501backed No11c482.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No50c446.19$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.092748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes52c417.61$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1516858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No50c385.41$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.715154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes78c382.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No50c375.33$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6614047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No49c357$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.935558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No47c344.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.921861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No49c340$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No51c330$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c317.28$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2814955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c303$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4711940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c299.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6710857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No47c299.05$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No9c277.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No50c274.5$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.252352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes70c264$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.211858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No50c242.6$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.34355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c233.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0214843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes74c225.57$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+75.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c220.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9613243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No17c214.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3212532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+83%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589d…b958backed No10c195$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes51c193.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6113551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No20c190.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.353941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c188$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4832453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No50c186.6$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No50c185$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No50c178.21$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.112748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No49c175$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.751323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes49c146.74$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.462657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be9…368dbacked No10c144.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.35754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed No48c129.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.321353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No22c128$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7212156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No21c125.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No50c119.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No18c101.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.765853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No43c99.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.633354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes70c99.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.461650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff41…387abacked No50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Yes53c94.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes67c93.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2811050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.72770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes78c85.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4916865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd923…7ba3backed No50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No49c75.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.111752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes50c74.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.172070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.