Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd570f2e425ffbad0c3d8ca502991a8676756a3fa305559fd820c4ec60e93c3e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 7,135$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.06 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 79c | 2,232$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 1c | 2,146$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Yes | 1c | 1,061$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 982.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 964.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 4c | 928.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 633.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 76c | 622.56$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 4c | 594.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 26c | 522.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 4c | 409.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 72c | 346$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 248.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 76c | 196.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 173.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 164$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 125.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 23c | 106.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 105.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked No | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 26c | 89.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…b79fbacked Yes | 24c | 77.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 71c | 77.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed No | 74c | 50.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 41.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 41.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 78c | 41.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 78c | 35.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 78c | 35.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 78c | 35.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 78c | 35.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 78c | 35.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 78c | 35.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed No | 78c | 35.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…c558backed No | 73c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked No | 72c | 18.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 78c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.