Mls · resolved market
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7c4717c970e6424403d026819548d8159774bdbc0d05fedb05335b68f718f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94ce…09b1backed No | 59c | 87,266$51,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,123.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 58c | 70,000$40,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,399.84 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 41,313$17,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,247.59 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 28,423$11,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,868.7 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 19,429$8,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,126.09 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 57c | 19,186$10,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.93 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 42c | 18,132$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565.28 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Yes | 42c | 12,822$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 5,690$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.92 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Yes | 42c | 4,907$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 42c | 4,175$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.47 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 41c | 3,614$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.59 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Yes | 42c | 3,005$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Yes | 43c | 2,967$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,669$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.94 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 43c | 944.52$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 18c | 932$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 908$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.36 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 728.03$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.11 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 42c | 650$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.71 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 60c | 628.12$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.25 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 58c | 589.27$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 477$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 42c | 476.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 368.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 42c | 353.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 42c | 342.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 41c | 310$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 304.07$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 42c | 282.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 249.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Yes | 42c | 240.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 35c | 221.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 211.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 42c | 197.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 42c | 194.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Yes | 14c | 192.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 42c | 191.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 185.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 42c | 163.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 42c | 158.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes | 17c | 149.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 42c | 142.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 42c | 126.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes | 42c | 123.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 42c | 118.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Yes | 16c | 104.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 42c | 101.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 42c | 101.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 42c | 98.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Yes | 40c | 89.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 40c | 85.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 42c | 84.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 69.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Yes | 17c | 60.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…5847backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 44c | 54.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 42c | 54.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…f2ecbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…5923backed Yes | 42c | 39.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed Yes | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 42c | 36.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 42c | 36.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 42c | 30.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes | 42c | 28.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed No | 58c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…6353backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will D.C. United SC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.