Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd85e93efaa1feda9ce592a902e37a6185454e575cd7d7a5bbc9ee9e159f96e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokinaof Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $585,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 68c | 105,456$71,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,586.3 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 51,979$16,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,038.18 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 19c | 31,147$6,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,026.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 66c | 29,818$19,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,137.24 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 27,949$9,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,451.88 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 23,368$6,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,726.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 17,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 70c | 14,759$10,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,436.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 69c | 14,198$9,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,383.51 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 78c | 13,753$10,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.67 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 11,648$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.4 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 25c | 10,858$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.8 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 70c | 8,000$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.99 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 69c | 6,838$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.72 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 5,933$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.11 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 22c | 5,458$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.77 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 5,000$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.98 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 66c | 4,948$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.18 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 66c | 4,809$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 67c | 4,075$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.63 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 5c | 3,947$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.12 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 3c | 3,538$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 26c | 3,461$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.59 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 18c | 3,307$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.75 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 74c | 2,953$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.83 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 2,919$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.83 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 67c | 2,907$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.81 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 2,881$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.61 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.55 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…fbe9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 2,203$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…3b1cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 2,174$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 2,136$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.58 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 2,135$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.72 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…a098backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 2,110$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 28c | 2,060$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 30c | 2,002$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.61 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 1,991$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 74c | 1,882$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.96 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 1,879$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.82 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…5698backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 1,717$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 28c | 1,708$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.71 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 1,702$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.89 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 1,551$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.89 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 70c | 1,403$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.86 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6f…ec8bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 1,390$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x539b…d322backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 68c | 1,288$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 66c | 1,273$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.98 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 64c | 1,271$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.48 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 79c | 1,250$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.52 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 1,235$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.97 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 1,233$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.19 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 1,192$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 1,124$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.94 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 78c | 986.8$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 64c | 867.19$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.97 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 19c | 847.21$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…8117backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 66c | 843.44$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.77 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 74c | 814.92$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 806$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 769.28$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.94 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 764.71$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 758.61$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.51 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 68c | 720.4$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 710.16$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.97 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 705.27$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.53 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 13c | 692.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…a65fbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 67c | 658.34$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 616.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 588.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 497.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 65c | 483.48$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.22 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 11c | 441.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 441.16$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 67c | 438.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…2160backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 431.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 425.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 13c | 421.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 30c | 406.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 18c | 372.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 67c | 365.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 64c | 349.95$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 337.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 321.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 68c | 316.71$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 67c | 314.47$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 312.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Fokina vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Fokina vs BustaFokina won
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)Fokina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.