TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Norway vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No38c28,215$10,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,757.9535942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes55c14,041$7,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,250.4229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No76c12,014$9,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,131.012729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes24c12,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,119.977762.3%48 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c4,951$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.454,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No11c3,470$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.712036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed No2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No76c1,965$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.377859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes24c1,846$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.673243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No2c1,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No11c1,473$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1123738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes79c1,342$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c1,248$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c1,173$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.731,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Yes24c1,138$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.54355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfca6…a19fbacked Yes59c1,102$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes36c1,085$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.382748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Yes79c1,035$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3913453%71 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes64c723.78$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes79c632$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.723354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes47c575.44$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.33,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No25c512.88$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4216341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37524732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Yes25c499.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.684949%24 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes62c496.35$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8286455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No27c464.56$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes24c445.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.83837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+229.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003842.1%16 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cd7…33d9backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes58c352.53$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed No8c326.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.632161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes36c314.36$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes25c300.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0923743.9%104 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No76c299.97$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9811951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No76c299.75$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8121953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes25c297.38$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.313633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes24c276.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…585bbacked Yes55c265.49$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No47c261.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.742,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked No76c255.5$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.187266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No76c250.54$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No76c250.54$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4124653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked No30c250$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c247.59$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.691,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes43c245.79$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1928754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes69c241.57$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.982,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes40c234.5$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f63…bf18backed No6c230.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+123.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No14c228.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.052416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-74.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.292931%9 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+77.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39ee…4ad6backed Yes26c188.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.721844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No76c184$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8410558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c170.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.216116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes76c162.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.152,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No76c150.66$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.517158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed No70c148.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.552147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Yes23c146.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.695547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes75c133.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7117851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No76c131.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.320156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No76c129.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.921,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…b990backed Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes41c123.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.814841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes46c107.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5823751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7115945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes24c98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4824537.1%91 W · 154 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes47c95.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.578040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes58c94.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8211230.4%34 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes78c93.43$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.57757.1%44 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No76c92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7327745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c91.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.341,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a71…f051backed Yes31c89.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.921520%3 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc516…3f8bbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed No24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.927464.9%48 W · 26 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes26c69.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2318128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c64.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5337144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8817338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Yes24c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.64623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.312327.6%34 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c58.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.145947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes23c58.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.983,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.894,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.65352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd923…7ba3backed No76c52.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No20c51.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.382045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…64febacked Yes71c50.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3886…a93dbacked Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3820344.8%91 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf66…066dbacked Yes39c49.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa13f…0730backed Yes75c46.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes65c43.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.136755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No77c42.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.842552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71fe…6a3abacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a1…44a0backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.