Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5110c63bb9bda368e07c4abe49e56f719fb4d77e32ed6db58aa97e4bfda0f9f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 49c | 19,994$9,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,797.23 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 14,628$8,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,583.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 14,299$7,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.13 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 50c | 11,857$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,870.48 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 49c | 10,031$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.3 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 49c | 9,956$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.86 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 35c | 8,613$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 51c | 8,431$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 50c | 6,549$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.02 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 5,590$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.25 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 4,262$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 3,404$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.72 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 50c | 3,193$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.3 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…8b58backed Yes | 39c | 2,663$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 51c | 2,627$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 55c | 2,557$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.38 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 51c | 2,392$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.16 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 55c | 2,350$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.94 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 48c | 2,171$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.67 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 29c | 2,065$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 49c | 2,035$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…f2b0backed Yes | 53c | 1,965$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 53c | 1,922$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.51 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 53c | 1,876$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 65c | 1,852$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.11 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,604$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.34 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 51c | 1,574$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.26 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…31b0backed Yes | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…b274backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 1,116$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.23 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13d…3abbbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 929.67$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 48c | 925.74$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.49 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 919.89$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.74 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 52c | 915.09$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…f082backed Yes | 37c | 807.59$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed No | 65c | 791.93$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 51c | 760.78$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.96 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 701.11$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 51c | 649.02$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.02 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 629.38$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 41c | 608.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 61c | 558.56$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 51c | 543.91$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.16 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 52c | 540.47$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.74 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes | 49c | 527.41$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…4ad6backed Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 514.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c63…b564backed Yes | 49c | 509.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 50c | 500.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 49c | 484.52$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 52c | 483.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.43 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea95…4730backed No | 63c | 465.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…5736backed Yes | 50c | 443.58$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…8ec3backed Yes | 49c | 442.86$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 47c | 437.87$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 49c | 410.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…c6c5backed Yes | 49c | 405.13$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 50c | 403.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 47c | 399.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 392.06$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 52c | 389.54$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 52c | 369.61$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 367.34$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Yes | 45c | 354.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 15c | 350$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 50c | 331.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 51c | 320.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 49c | 301.6$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Yes | 50c | 284.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 50c | 278$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed No | 52c | 261.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 256.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0c…0d2bbacked Yes | 40c | 253$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Norway vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.