Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fcf493881684943e3172b4c132e3c665444287f3d3ff3a3442d4330ebc4c158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 51c | 161,031$82,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,872.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 51c | 103,000$52,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,329.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 48c | 47,833$22,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,954.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 19,838$9,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,716.61 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Yes | 50c | 14,708$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,408.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 10,502$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.44 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Yes | 50c | 8,498$4,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 7,780$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.09 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 49c | 7,715$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.33 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 5,771$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.11 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Yes | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 50c | 5,264$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.21 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 3,493$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.67 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 50c | 3,467$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.29 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 49c | 3,060$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.4 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 76c | 2,639$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.72 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 57c | 2,304$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.64 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 2,188$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.76 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 2,021$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.08 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 1,843$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.38 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 1,681$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.2 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 1,471$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.23 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 1,355$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.68 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 61c | 1,283$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.62 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 57c | 1,159$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.01 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,144$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.41 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,062$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.39 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 64c | 880.68$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 873.16$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.06 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 48c | 868.17$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 12c | 838.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 70c | 824.26$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.4 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 48c | 786.13$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 781.22$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.39 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 64c | 775.9$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.84 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 51c | 771.79$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.61 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 66c | 747.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 55c | 711.59$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 43c | 665.19$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.29 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 37c | 635.94$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 44c | 569.02$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 62c | 565.57$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.7 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 69c | 550$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 49c | 508.16$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.16 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 54c | 504.31$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 70c | 473.49$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 65c | 451.36$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 40c | 445.71$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 49c | 437$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 49c | 366.77$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 55c | 352.46$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 46c | 323.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 50c | 311.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 75c | 288.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 46c | 286.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 278.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 40c | 276.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 33c | 276.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 46c | 275.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 35c | 268.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 53c | 267$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 51c | 263.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 44c | 262.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 35c | 224.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Yes | 53c | 190.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 39c | 187.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 52c | 167$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…f33ebacked Yes | 51c | 165.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 48c | 154.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 150.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Yes | 51c | 148.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 76c | 143.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Yes | 57c | 141.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 140.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 136.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 49c | 135.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 49c | 135.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 45c | 132.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 113.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Yes | 48c | 112.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 48c | 111.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…e007backed Yes | 50c | 100.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…ad44backed Yes | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…5923backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.