Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ccb14aac1e7819e3782896d8da291797ecc3b2b85e3243d76e281116b9a568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 45c | 64,541$28,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,745.79 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 52,413$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.03 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 26,695$14,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,868.96 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 12,951$5,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,230.71 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.98 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 56c | 11,865$6,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.52 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 10,158$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688.09 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 8,046$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.96 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 44c | 5,828$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.63 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 21c | 5,422$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.45 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 5,165$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.3 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 5,032$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.81 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…77aabacked No | 8c | 4,029$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 44c | 3,755$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.89 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…43d9backed No | 6c | 3,700$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 56c | 3,665$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.22 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 44c | 3,382$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.14 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 55c | 3,282$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.1 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 55c | 2,777$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.35 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed No | 56c | 2,709$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 56c | 1,975$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.13 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 1,856$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.54 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 57c | 1,778$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.41 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 1c | 1,708$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 1,582$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.87 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.72 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 1,336$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.8 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…9837backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed No | 12c | 910.43$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 12c | 905.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 20c | 900.64$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.75 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 20c | 900.64$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.75 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…122ebacked Yes | 44c | 900.51$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 56c | 889.99$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.39 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 51c | 831.37$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.85 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed No | 57c | 828.97$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 57c | 818.08$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 57c | 818.08$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 800$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 56c | 759.41$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 44c | 746.76$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 55c | 738$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 14c | 722.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 57c | 720.69$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 16c | 699.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 44c | 689.66$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.21 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 15c | 686.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed No | 2c | 682.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 15c | 681.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 45c | 667.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.98 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 44c | 663.92$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.79 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 13c | 648.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed No | 9c | 617.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 45c | 598.57$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 595.8$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.69 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed No | 57c | 584.34$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed No | 57c | 584.34$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 563.43$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.68 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked No | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 470.37$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 457.67$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.31 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 5c | 448.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed No | 4c | 440.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 32c | 434.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked No | 57c | 428.52$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 33c | 425.87$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 5c | 412.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 56c | 401.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 56c | 395.56$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.51 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 44c | 395.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed No | 57c | 389.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed No | 57c | 389.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 372.91$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 49c | 358.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 9c | 354.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 56c | 323.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…1f8cbacked Yes | 44c | 320.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 44c | 318.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.64 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 33c | 295.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 32c | 282.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 32c | 282.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 277.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…ae99backed Yes | 44c | 274.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 44c | 243.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 45c | 225.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.