Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3f757b2fc0384a3be149c8ff1c3ee831636ab296cc8bab70bd9297c77b663d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 6,258$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 4,275$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.48 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 28c | 3,814$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.64 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,894$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked No | 73c | 809.67$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 72c | 783.8$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 27c | 748$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 532.66$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 28c | 524.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 483.21$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 27c | 446.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…9fa0backed No | 72c | 305.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 296.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 72c | 287.87$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 27c | 241.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 73c | 202.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 27c | 183.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 138.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed No | 72c | 127$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 122.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 122.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…76b6backed No | 73c | 66.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 73c | 62.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 74c | 59.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 53.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 72c | 49.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 28c | 49.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 72c | 36.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…62e3backed No | 73c | 35.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed No | 73c | 32.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…33f4backed No | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 73c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…b052backed No | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.