Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbccc20a22e96c0980043c2f2a66f8ff81e6ea8f68e39b01584829d9f8bd106ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Cloud9 | 58c | 9,045$5,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.88 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 5,555$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.1 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud9 | 66c | 2,964$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.32 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 1,028$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 993$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.96 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 913.08$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.49 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 713.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.45 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Cloud9 | 57c | 493.89$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 443.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Cloud9 | 52c | 429.55$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 408.76$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 393.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 333.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Cloud9 | 62c | 316.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 300.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cloud9 | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Cloud9 | 59c | 299.6$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Cloud9 | 58c | 292.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…8980backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Cloud9 | 56c | 268.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 256.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Cloud9 | 60c | 242.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 236.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 227$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 219.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Cloud9 | 60c | 211.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…0bcebacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 209.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 204.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 178.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 169.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Cloud9 | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 157.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 149.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 112.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 111.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 107.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 101.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 96.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 96.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Cloud9 | 63c | 93.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Cloud9 | 59c | 83.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Cloud9 | 59c | 83.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 75.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 58.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 56.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Cloud9 | 60c | 55.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ec…052dbacked Cloud9 | 59c | 53.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 53.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 51.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 47.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 47.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 47.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…3d70backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 46.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…db92backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 46.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Cloud9 | 57c | 42.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 42.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 42.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Cloud9 | 50c | 39.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 36.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Cloud9 | 57c | 31.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7af…e28cbacked Cloud9 | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 26.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Cloud9 | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…3cc3backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 24.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Cloud9 | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.