TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Cloud9, Shopify Rebellion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58f8…dc70backed Cloud980c15,243$12,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.9540970.2%287 W · 122 L+30.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Cloud978c11,570$8,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.691,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Shopify Rebellion23c7,369$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.8267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Shopify Rebellion23c6,189$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.5390937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.9996350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Shopify Rebellion2c4,725$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5229527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed Cloud976c4,281$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.4353147.5%252 W · 279 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Shopify Rebellion25c4,277$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.6510535.2%37 W · 68 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shopify Rebellion18c3,469$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.882,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion15c3,214$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.511,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Shopify Rebellion7c2,528$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7837641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Cloud971c2,242$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.951,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Shopify Rebellion24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48090443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Shopify Rebellion30c1,800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5441,23249.4%609 W · 623 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud979c1,728$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.871,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Cloud977c1,585$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.631,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Shopify Rebellion23c1,565$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Shopify Rebellion22c1,525$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.531,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion20c1,111$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.871,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Shopify Rebellion14c955.81$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5942941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed Shopify Rebellion23c953.8$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3717032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Shopify Rebellion16c949.6$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.941,18444.4%526 W · 658 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shopify Rebellion20c856.8$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3695951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Cloud977c778.55$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0767853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Shopify Rebellion23c741.1$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.451,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Cloud976c647.44$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.611959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked Cloud978c630.3$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7828965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Shopify Rebellion7c628$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8815243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Shopify Rebellion20c568.51$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.251,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shopify Rebellion24c535.23$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.451,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Shopify Rebellion7c533.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8661343.6%267 W · 346 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Shopify Rebellion29c527.32$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.173930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Shopify Rebellion19c509$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.711,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Shopify Rebellion29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14519744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Shopify Rebellion29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14535243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Cloud980c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cloud970c491$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.31,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Cloud976c474.32$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.849259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed Shopify Rebellion20c471.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.310034%34 W · 66 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Shopify Rebellion23c420.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7748548.7%236 W · 249 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Cloud976c415$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.117143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Cloud969c392.56$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6967056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Cloud979c353.63$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.261,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed Cloud978c325.14$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.539259.8%55 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Cloud968c294.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1624445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cloud980c294.22$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.841,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Shopify Rebellion24c272.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.391,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Shopify Rebellion19c270$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.315149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Cloud977c261.43$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1339266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion22c259.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7485942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Cloud980c256.22$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.157349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Cloud977c256.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9283149.8%414 W · 417 L+2.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Cloud979c246.85$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8486758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion12c239.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.412,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb734…fc38backed Cloud977c226.7$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.147568%51 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cloud980c216.47$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.291,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Cloud976c203.26$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1911663.8%74 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001e…e154backed Cloud977c192.12$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.194077.5%31 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Shopify Rebellion15c189.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4760053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Cloud978c189.77$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7526150.6%132 W · 129 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Shopify Rebellion24c187.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion22c177.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.431,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Shopify Rebellion26c160.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.831242.6%133 W · 179 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfa…27b2backed Shopify Rebellion10c150.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Shopify Rebellion24c137.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5758420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4033…48c5backed Shopify Rebellion15c133.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Shopify Rebellion24c117.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.467263.9%46 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8112…4129backed Cloud976c103.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.913065.4%85 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion23c98.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.731,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Shopify Rebellion20c97.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9274250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Shopify Rebellion17c89.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0747630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed Shopify Rebellion24c88.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.14531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Shopify Rebellion23c79.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.281,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Cloud977c78.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1542852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Cloud977c73.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.943360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Cloud976c69.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5215759.2%93 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa1…a844backed Shopify Rebellion17c68.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4220238.6%78 W · 124 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…9422backed Cloud977c64.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.734470.5%31 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Shopify Rebellion28c62.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4710346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud979c51.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.91,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Shopify Rebellion24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7286…746fbacked Cloud979c46.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked Cloud974c46.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2516254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Cloud976c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.640156.9%228 W · 173 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Cloud979c39.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.341181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8120…a9f1backed Cloud977c39.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0716653.6%89 W · 77 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Cloud980c38.86$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.811,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e46…7a60backed Cloud977c34.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.986360.3%38 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Cloud974c26.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9446154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Cloud979c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2565954.5%359 W · 300 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Cloud980c23.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.791,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Cloud972c20.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6413473.9%99 W · 35 L+13.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Cloud972c19.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7c…c0efbacked Cloud977c17.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3930…fbebbacked Cloud977c13.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.181172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.