TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Cloud9, Shopify Rebellion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x988d…9899backed Shopify Rebellion18c12,285$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.2348742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Shopify Rebellion15c7,143$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.61,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Shopify Rebellion16c5,300$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.061,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Shopify Rebellion18c4,120$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.3324741.3%102 W · 145 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Shopify Rebellion17c3,647$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.751,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cloud976c3,427$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.3670456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a2…844fbacked Shopify Rebellion23c3,220$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion4c2,447$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.941,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Cloud977c2,294$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.7124445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion14c2,291$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.191,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Cloud977c2,272$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.5859248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Shopify Rebellion23c1,956$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.971855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae8…c9a3backed Shopify Rebellion16c1,860$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.572725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Shopify Rebellion11c1,807$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0428827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Shopify Rebellion23c1,800$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.991,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Shopify Rebellion7c1,684$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.211,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Shopify Rebellion5c1,674$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9117143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Shopify Rebellion17c1,593$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8114761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion21c1,560$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.792,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Shopify Rebellion15c1,459$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1715821.5%34 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Shopify Rebellion17c1,285$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3175630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Shopify Rebellion17c1,252$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8417228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Shopify Rebellion17c1,231$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.219062.2%56 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8df…4b48backed Shopify Rebellion17c1,140$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.844231%13 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Shopify Rebellion24c1,111$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6435243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Shopify Rebellion16c1,023$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.713135.1%46 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Shopify Rebellion17c1,019$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2310831.5%34 W · 74 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shopify Rebellion16c999.92$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.991,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Shopify Rebellion19c994.04$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.753930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Shopify Rebellion5c992.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.651140%0 W · 114 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Shopify Rebellion16c930$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5258420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Shopify Rebellion3c908.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2542941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Shopify Rebellion17c797.05$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.542735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Cloud977c768.47$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.751,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda49…f7e0backed Shopify Rebellion3c671.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df4…2680backed Shopify Rebellion17c519.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.361526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Shopify Rebellion22c513.04$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8718121%38 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Shopify Rebellion24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Shopify Rebellion18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Shopify Rebellion24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017633.5%59 W · 117 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion14c432.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion14c376.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.511,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Shopify Rebellion14c343.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0644129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Shopify Rebellion16c329.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.791,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed Shopify Rebellion17c285.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4635323.2%82 W · 271 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfa…27b2backed Shopify Rebellion4c284.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Shopify Rebellion7c269.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8813352.6%70 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Shopify Rebellion16c262.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0439940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Cloud977c256.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.928448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed Shopify Rebellion17c243.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3910551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Shopify Rebellion12c238.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.222,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Shopify Rebellion18c211.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.391,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion11c209.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.811,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion17c202.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.712,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Shopify Rebellion18c173.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.743837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shopify Rebellion8c166.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Shopify Rebellion16c160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.692,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Shopify Rebellion18c158.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.527833.3%26 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Shopify Rebellion14c146.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9648847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Shopify Rebellion17c142$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.143554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Shopify Rebellion16c139.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.391,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Shopify Rebellion17c139.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7620332%65 W · 138 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Shopify Rebellion17c139.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cloud975c132.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0524642.3%104 W · 142 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Shopify Rebellion20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2439044.6%174 W · 216 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Shopify Rebellion17c104.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7438640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Cloud975c102.3$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Shopify Rebellion19c101.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.717739%69 W · 108 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Shopify Rebellion16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Shopify Rebellion14c99.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.969250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Shopify Rebellion17c97.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.635337.7%20 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Shopify Rebellion16c94.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1939859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Shopify Rebellion21c90.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0542847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8a…1843backed Cloud976c88.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.164548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1b…c279backed Shopify Rebellion17c86.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.683565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60d8…85f8backed Shopify Rebellion16c64.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Shopify Rebellion17c63.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7930441.8%127 W · 177 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Shopify Rebellion17c58.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049514.3%71 W · 424 L-70.5wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion17c58.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc648…dcc2backed Cloud976c21.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.222238.7%86 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.