Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdbf67508ee7e911e2aa49eda3f1b299349e437f5c138c998f28443ed1510fa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 60c | 2,313$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.52 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 37c | 1,502$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 41c | 1,200$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 61c | 930.55$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.92 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…1786backed Under | 63c | 623.06$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 37c | 607.15$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 39c | 542.39$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.53 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 64c | 256.91$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 35c | 141.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 61c | 93.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 40c | 68.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 65c | 67.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 65c | 58.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 40c | 36.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 62c | 26.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Under | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 61c | 22.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 75c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.