Lol · resolved market
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9b0fd4f3e7bddb8e8500aed96da2d1b6ad8124259ef13306709bcb31830b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Cloud9 | 75c | 17,627$13,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.43 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 9,681$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.48 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Cloud9 | 76c | 5,519$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.65 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 5,373$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.02 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 5,139$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.44 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 4,890$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.4 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud9 | 74c | 4,681$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.66 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Cloud9 | 68c | 4,401$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.5 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 3,037$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.94 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 2,428$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.11 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 2,052$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 114 | 0%0 W · 114 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Cloud9 | 70c | 1,964$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.23 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,910$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Cloud9 | 75c | 1,788$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.92 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 1,670$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Cloud9 | 75c | 1,601$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,546$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.29 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 1,478$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.61 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,268$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.26 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Cloud9 | 75c | 1,265$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 462 | 63.9%295 W · 167 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,148$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.01 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Cloud9 | 66c | 1,104$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.67 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,019$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 948.81$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.63 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 879.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.85 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Cloud9 | 72c | 870.34$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 787.65$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 773.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 768.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Cloud9 | 76c | 753.52$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…ce30backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 753.43$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.17 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 749.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 702.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.53 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 658.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Cloud9 | 76c | 648.14$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 636.21$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…b630backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 571.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 557.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 553.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 519.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 518.14$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.05 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Cloud9 | 71c | 511.22$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Cloud9 | 73c | 494.35$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Cloud9 | 80c | 488.07$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 453.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 433.27$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…746fbacked Cloud9 | 76c | 418.88$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 410.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 401.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Cloud9 | 70c | 392.68$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 392.56$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Cloud9 | 67c | 321.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 305.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Cloud9 | 68c | 287.02$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ec…052dbacked Cloud9 | 76c | 260.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Cloud9 | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Cloud9 | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 120 | 59.2%71 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Cloud9 | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 249.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 238.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 211.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 207.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 200.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 388 | 35.3%137 W · 251 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Cloud9 | 68c | 197.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Cloud9 | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 212 | 49.1%104 W · 108 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…f3c6backed Cloud9 | 75c | 188.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 181.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 180.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 175.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 167.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cloud9 | 64c | 142.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001e…e154backed Cloud9 | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…9422backed Cloud9 | 75c | 131.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Cloud9 | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Cloud9 | 70c | 127.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 124.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…3a99backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 124.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 400 | 33%132 W · 268 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Cloud9 | 75c | 113.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…9dfebacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 110.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…4129backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…e54cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 106.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Cloud9 | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 104.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 100.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Cloud9 | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked Cloud9 | 75c | 96.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…48c5backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 96.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 91.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…2798backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 88.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…5c0bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 85.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…3cbabacked Cloud9 | 70c | 82.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 226 | 66.4%150 W · 76 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 80.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.