TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93ec…052d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$9.71
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+107%+$107
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked EXILE esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.96
LoL: Francesinhas vs Ronaldo Team (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked Francesinhas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.72
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.2
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked Dream Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.27
LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked Aeterna Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$110.98
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.98
Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs RAYN Clocks (+1.5)backed FENNEL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$95.89
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$67.47
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs The Bandits (+1.5)backed Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$85.05
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$22.11
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$63.11
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28%+$55.16
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-56.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$19.37
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,600.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,600.1%+$504.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Esteban Lepaul: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.