NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a23ef1bc0718876ff637c557cb4182e54407efcc4eddc0b48c9962923d4d844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $979,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,897 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 165,283$73,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,328.7 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs | 56c | 89,080$49,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,092.18 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 56c | 70,640$39,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,081.5 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…eeb9backed Grizzlies | 46c | 63,101$29,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,026.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…5076backed Spurs | 54c | 35,570$19,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,362.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 55c | 32,435$17,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,627.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 30,297$13,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,424.74 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…d9fbbacked Spurs | 54c | 28,576$15,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,144.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…c022backed Grizzlies | 46c | 28,316$13,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,025.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…7a8fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 27,029$12,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,163.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…c7b9backed Spurs | 54c | 26,930$14,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,387.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…8599backed Spurs | 54c | 26,548$14,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,212.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f4…2f50backed Grizzlies | 46c | 22,697$10,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,440.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…ce80backed Spurs | 54c | 20,138$10,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,263.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 30c | 19,945$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Spurs | 68c | 19,788$13,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,332.69 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…fe87backed Grizzlies | 46c | 18,038$8,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,297.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…1c09backed Grizzlies | 46c | 18,027$8,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,292.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…d1d6backed Spurs | 54c | 15,078$8,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,935.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…7671backed Grizzlies | 45c | 14,966$6,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,734.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Spurs | 54c | 14,840$8,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Spurs | 55c | 12,494$6,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…1bb3backed Grizzlies | 45c | 11,637$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb53…6438backed Grizzlies | 46c | 10,869$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 54c | 10,857$5,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.41 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 9,835$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…97d3backed Spurs | 54c | 8,985$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 46c | 8,850$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.97 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a3…5213backed Grizzlies | 46c | 8,833$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce75…c5f6backed Grizzlies | 46c | 8,250$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…00debacked Spurs | 54c | 8,191$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…de53backed Grizzlies | 45c | 5,257$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…0bb8backed Grizzlies | 45c | 5,231$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…288bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 5,029$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…d532backed Grizzlies | 45c | 4,647$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8f…007abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 4,628$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…5ae5backed Grizzlies | 45c | 4,569$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 58c | 4,016$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.3 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8aeebacked Spurs | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…9fbbbacked Spurs | 55c | 3,845$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…ece7backed Spurs | 55c | 3,766$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…1558backed Spurs | 55c | 3,711$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…e960backed Spurs | 55c | 3,629$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…b3c1backed Spurs | 54c | 3,593$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 68c | 3,558$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.58 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 61c | 3,218$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.06 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…f836backed Spurs | 55c | 3,035$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…b9eabacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,940$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac08…e284backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,920$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560a…cb11backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,888$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…2b36backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,761$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c7…8335backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,675$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…0824backed Spurs | 55c | 2,673$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea38…bf94backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,656$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…f60dbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,634$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…0da7backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,583$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…b7e0backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,574$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa563…4b56backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,567$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…bde6backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,538$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…f5a8backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,465$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…24cabacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,436$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…635abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,436$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…42b0backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,433$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…0a1bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…4677backed Spurs | 55c | 2,385$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…52d1backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,360$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…0eb2backed Spurs | 55c | 2,353$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…fe07backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,349$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…ff57backed Spurs | 55c | 2,345$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…5ae2backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,329$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984a…15d5backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,321$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…e6e2backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,315$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…fa93backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,302$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…5b76backed Spurs | 55c | 2,280$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…2920backed Spurs | 55c | 2,273$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…92a7backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,253$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4a64backed Spurs | 55c | 2,242$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…9032backed Spurs | 55c | 2,229$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…8146backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,226$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d18…99f1backed Spurs | 55c | 2,211$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…1257backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,196$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…e359backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,190$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4e…dc36backed Spurs | 55c | 2,173$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc885…a5d5backed Spurs | 55c | 2,162$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…6a81backed Spurs | 55c | 2,141$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…3d7cbacked Spurs | 55c | 2,139$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…cf46backed Spurs | 55c | 2,129$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…3fd5backed Spurs | 55c | 2,122$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1469backed Spurs | 55c | 2,107$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc147…1344backed Spurs | 55c | 2,105$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…aeaebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,104$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…e7b9backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,095$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…6a5fbacked Spurs | 55c | 2,093$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…446fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,079$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…0759backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,078$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…8dc1backed Spurs | 55c | 2,074$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…a603backed Spurs | 55c | 2,069$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…a4d4backed Spurs | 55c | 2,067$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.