NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2986efe5ccb7b86988f648d659b01986e7fc2070e1a004b3ddfa55641675453b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,121,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,121,982 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb6e…48e6backed Grizzlies | 7c | 320,063$22,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,404.41 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies | 4c | 167,929$6,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,922.51 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 7c | 122,375$8,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,285.33 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 6c | 60,708$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 5c | 46,679$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.07 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 7c | 45,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 40,742$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 39,797$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.96 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…8a29backed Grizzlies | 7c | 37,477$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 30,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Grizzlies | 8c | 25,957$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 8c | 24,557$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.99 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 5c | 21,621$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Grizzlies | 6c | 21,600$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 20,043$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.15 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 7c | 19,709$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed Grizzlies | 7c | 18,803$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 14,682$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.03 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Grizzlies | 8c | 13,332$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 12,666$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 2c | 10,409$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.96 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Grizzlies | 5c | 10,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 8c | 9,344$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 8,819$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.13 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…5778backed Grizzlies | 8c | 8,738$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.52 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 8,251$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.07 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bb84backed Grizzlies | 8c | 6,916$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 6,338$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…d60abacked Grizzlies | 7c | 5,897$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 5,891$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Grizzlies | 6c | 5,690$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.4 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f8…d7d3backed Grizzlies | 7c | 5,513$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 5,359$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…eb4abacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,318$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Grizzlies | 12c | 5,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Grizzlies | 2c | 4,633$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Grizzlies | 8c | 4,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Grizzlies | 6c | 4,293$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Grizzlies | 8c | 4,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Grizzlies | 8c | 3,990$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Grizzlies | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Grizzlies | 8c | 3,700$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies | 4c | 3,462$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 7c | 3,456$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 3,129$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 7c | 2,999$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 2c | 2,847$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Grizzlies | 8c | 2,813$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed Grizzlies | 3c | 2,669$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,663$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 2,329$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Grizzlies | 7c | 2,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…95f2backed Grizzlies | 8c | 2,050$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 3c | 2,016$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Grizzlies | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,989$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…d019backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,911$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,900$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,758$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…13b1backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…650abacked Grizzlies | 8c | 1,700$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b357backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,695$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…cbb2backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,555$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,547$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,519$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 1,500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,484$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…e044backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,417$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,360$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,351$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,343$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Grizzlies | 4c | 1,288$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…be86backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,154$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 1,142$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…2471backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,115$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…195ebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…3d77backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Grizzlies | 5c | 1,018$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 1,004$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…74bebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 936.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies | 2c | 910.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Grizzlies | 7c | 898.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 857$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Grizzlies | 4c | 818$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 181 | 33.7%61 W · 120 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Grizzlies | 5c | 800$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Grizzlies | 8c | 799.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Grizzlies | 2c | 749.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Grizzliesthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.