NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c682a6ffe859c9c0acea161358874e21d8262636466d980b37bff2290ff9c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $668,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,860 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 48c | 328,848$157,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,000.97 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 185,837$97,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,342.7 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 143,367$74,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,550.59 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 90,050$46,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,826 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 48c | 81,665$38,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,833.39 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Grizzlies | 52c | 69,922$36,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,359.43 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 49,279$25,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,624.85 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 27,334$14,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,208.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 48c | 11,816$5,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,107.83 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Spurs | 48c | 9,979$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.17 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 49c | 8,380$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 5,257$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.26 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Spurs | 48c | 4,011$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.72 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 2,204$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.19 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Spurs | 47c | 2,018$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.48 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 47c | 1,916$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,631$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Spurs | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.95 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,261$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Spurs | 48c | 1,049$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.65 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Spurs | 55c | 986.38$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.89 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Spurs | 48c | 808.74$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Spurs | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Spurs | 48c | 774.04$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.03 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 767.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.12 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Spurs | 48c | 716.67$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.67 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Spurs | 48c | 655.19$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.33 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Spurs | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Spurs | 48c | 611.67$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.81 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Spurs | 47c | 605$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Spurs | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 48c | 570.05$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Spurs | 48c | 544$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.88 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Spurs | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Spurs | 48c | 515$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Spurs | 48c | 419.22$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.02 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Spurs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Spurs | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Spurs | 48c | 371.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs | 48c | 358.3$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 296$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Spurs | 48c | 277.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Spurs | 48c | 276.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Spurs | 47c | 264.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Grizzlies | 38c | 260.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Spurs | 48c | 228$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Grizzlies | 52c | 210.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Spurs | 48c | 200.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a06dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Grizzlies | 54c | 184.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Spurs | 48c | 164$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Spurs | 48c | 160.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 150.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Spurs | 48c | 150.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 50c | 142.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Grizzlies | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Spurs | 48c | 132$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Spurs | 48c | 123$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Spurs | 47c | 121$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Spurs | 48c | 120.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Spurs | 48c | 115.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Grizzlies | 52c | 115.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 48c | 109.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Spurs | 47c | 105.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Spurs | 48c | 105.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Spurs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Spurs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed Spurs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed Grizzlies | 20c | 102.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…5a00backed Spurs | 48c | 102.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…0398backed Spurs | 48c | 102.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Grizzlies | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Spurs | 48c | 97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…60fabacked Spurs | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Spurs | 47c | 92.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 88.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Spurs | 47c | 86.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Grizzlies | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Spurs | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…2112backed Spurs | 48c | 82.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Spurs | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Spurs | 48c | 80.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Spurs | 47c | 80.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…fa24backed Spurs | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…cd69backed Grizzlies | 53c | 74.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Grizzlies | 25c | 73.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Grizzlies | 45c | 72.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Spurs | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…eef1backed Spurs | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Spurs | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…a277backed Grizzlies | 37c | 65.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Spurs | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Spurs | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…cbf2backed Spurs | 48c | 60.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.