NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072021a842961e6cbc04fa32476200aa89a862a11532134f73aca8d3ea6837a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,922 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 54c | 22,411$12,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,101.81 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 46c | 21,852$10,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.7 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 5,067$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 53c | 3,735$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.55 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 3,605$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 2,814$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.79 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…ae4ebacked Under | 47c | 2,513$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.99 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 2,449$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.18 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 2,103$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.44 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…9bfcbacked Over | 53c | 2,096$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 1,852$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb426…0ec3backed Over | 53c | 1,556$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…5b79backed Under | 47c | 1,139$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 48c | 1,090$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.58 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 1,059$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.07 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 1,020$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Under | 48c | 930.71$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.97 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Under | 48c | 864.58$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.58 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Over | 2c | 830$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 47c | 693.62$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.62 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Under | 48c | 660.44$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 54c | 634$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.36 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 3c | 633.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 616.14$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 9c | 404.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Under | 48c | 381.81$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.54 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 58c | 309.37$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 53c | 267.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 254.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 11c | 228.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 213.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 208.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 50c | 201.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 201.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 49c | 193.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 61c | 172.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 161.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 50c | 160.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 54c | 153.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 140.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed Over | 62c | 129.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 113.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 105.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…21f2backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 58c | 93.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 52c | 86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 64c | 80.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 55c | 63.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…f93dbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 56.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 51.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 49c | 51.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 54c | 44.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d63…1f72backed Under | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…98ddbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 54c | 36.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Over | 54c | 31.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Under | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 50c | 29.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 29.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Over | 54c | 27.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 56c | 27.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 80c | 26.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Under | 54c | 25.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 46c | 22.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 48c | 21.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…d0f9backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.